1 The Role of Bolstering and Counterarguing Mindsets in Persuasion ALISON JING XU ROBERT S. WYER, JR.* 2 Alison Jing Xu is an assistant professor at the Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, 105 St. George Street, Toronto, ON, M5S 3E6, Canada ([email protected]). Robert S. Wyer, Jr., is a visiting professor in the Department of Marketing, Chinese University of Hong Kong ([email protected]). This article is based on the first author’s doctoral dissertation at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign. The authors appreciate the valuable feedback from dissertation committee members Rashmi Adaval, Dolores Albarracín, Sharon Shavitt, and Norbert Schwarz, as well as insightful comments from three JCR reviewers, the Associate Editor, and the Editor. This research was supported in part by the Standard Research Grant from Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada (no. 491127). Correspondence should be sent to Alison Jing Xu. 3 Abstract The effect of a persuasive communication on individuals’ attitudes can be influenced by the cognitive behavior they have performed in an earlier, unrelated situation. Inducing participants to make supportive elaborations about a series of propositions activated a bolstering mindset that increased the effectiveness of an unrelated advertisement they encountered subsequently. However, inducing participants to refute the implications of a series of propositions activated a counterarguing mindset that decreased the ad’s effectiveness. These mindsets had more impact when the cognitive behavior they activated differed from the behavior that would occur in the absence of these mindsets. When the implications of a persuasive message were difficult to refute, inducing a counterarguing mindset increased its effectiveness. Finally, watching a political speech or debate activated different mindsets, depending on participants’ a priori attitude toward the politicians involved, and these mindsets influenced the impact of an unrelated commercial they considered later. Key words: Mindset, Persuasion, Advertising, Information Processing, Judgment and Decision Making 4 Political debates are among the most popular shows on television. The first general presidential debate, between Richard Nixon and John F. Kennedy in 1960, drew more than 66 million viewers out of a population of 179 million, making it one of the most-watched broadcasts in U.S. television history (Wikipedia 2010). In 2008, 63.2 million viewers watched the second presidential debate between Barack Obama and John McCain and more than 69.9 million people watched the vice presidential debate between Sarah Palin and Joseph Biden (Nelson Media Research 2008). Because of their popularity, the competition for commercial advertising slots that follow political debates is intense. The fact that commercials are widely viewed, however, does not guarantee that they are effective. In fact, there is reason to believe that watching a political debate can sometimes decrease the effectiveness of the ad that follows it. The experiments we report in this article confirm this possibility. The effect of watching a debate on reactions to the commercials that follow it could reflect a behavioral mindset—a tendency for individuals’ cognitive behavior in one situation to generalize to subsequent, quite different situations (for a review, see Wyer and Xu 2010). For example, inducing participants to compare the physical attributes of wild animals can lead them to decide which of several products to buy in a subsequent purchasing situation without considering the option of buying nothing at all (Xu and Wyer 2008). Analogously, elaborating or counterarguing the views expressed in a communication could induce a mindset that influences individuals’ responses to an unrelated advertisement they encounter subsequently and, therefore, could affect their acceptance of its implications. 5 Four experiments examined this possibility. In two experiments, either a bolstering or counterarguing mindset was induced by asking participants to list their thoughts about propositions with which they either agreed or disagreed. Inducing a bolstering mindset disposed participants to generate positive thoughts about an ad they encountered subsequently and, therefore, increased their evaluations of the advertised product. In contrast, activating a counterarguing mindset disposed participants to generate negative thoughts toward the ad and consequently decreased their evaluations of the product. These tendencies were particularly evident when the cognitive responses activated by the mindset differed from participants’ normal responses to the communication. A third experiment, in a different domain, showed that when a persuasive appeal is difficult to refute, inducing a counterarguing mindset can increase participants’ sensitivity to this difficulty. Consequently, it can increase the effectiveness of the appeal rather than decrease it. In a fourth experiment, some participants viewed a debate between two political candidates whereas others watched a single candidate’s speech on a related topic. Political independents developed a mindset to counterargue while they watched the debate, whereas participants with an a priori preference for one candidate developed a counterarguing mindset while watching a speech by the candidate they opposed. This mindset decreased participants’ evaluations of an advertised product that they considered subsequently. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND 6 Cognitive Responses to Persuasive Messages The effect of individuals’ cognitive responses to a message on the influence of that message was established by Greenwald (1968) and was conceptualized more formally by Petty and Cacioppo (1981, 1986; see also Chaiken 1987). They assumed that when individuals are unable or unmotivated to think carefully about the issue conveyed in a message, they base their evaluations of the issue on heuristic criteria (e.g., characteristics of the message source) without thinking about the message’s content. When they are motivated to think about the message, however, their cognitive responses to its content determine its influence. In some cases, they elaborate on the arguments made in the communication, bolstering their belief in the position advocated with knowledge they have previously acquired about the issue at hand. In other cases, they counterargue, or refute the validity of the arguments presented. These cognitive responses, rather than the content of the message itself, determine the message’s impact (Petty and Cacioppo 1986). Differences in recipients’ cognitive responses to a message can potentially account for many of the phenomena identified in persuasion research (Briñol and Petty 2005). For example, Festinger and Maccoby (1964; see also Osterhouse and Brock 1970) found that when individuals were initially opposed to the position advocated in a message, distracting them from thinking about the message prevented them from counterarguing the implications of the message content and, therefore, increased the message’s influence. The greater effectiveness of two-sided over one-sided communications could also result 7 from the fact that two-sided messages decrease participants’ perceptions of bias and consequently reduce counterarguing (Kamin, Brand, Hoeke, and Moe 1989). Finally, although the source of a message can sometimes have a direct impact on the effectiveness of persuasion (Chaiken 1980), the effects of some source characteristics, such as prestige (Walster, Aronson, and Abrahams 1966) and expertise (Chaiken 1987; Cialdini 1993), could be mediated by their impact on the disposition to elaborate or counterargue the message content. Effects of Past Experience The research summarized above provides insight into how the content of a message, its source, and motivational factors combine to influence cognitive responses to a persuasive message and its effectiveness. However, relatively little research has investigated how recipients’ responses to a communication are influenced by their experiences prior to this communication. McGuire’s (1964) research on inoculation effects is an exception. He found that exposing participants to mild arguments against a proposition whose validity has never been questioned (e.g., truisms such as ―Mental illness is not contagious‖) can stimulate people to counterargue, and that the practice they acquire in doing so increases their ability to refute attacks on the proposition’s validity that they encounter later. In a particularly provocative study, McGuire (1961a) exposed some participants to a proposition (i.e., a truism) followed by a mild attack on its validity. They then wrote a paragraph refuting the attack. After doing so, both these participants and control 8 participants were exposed to a strong attack on the same proposition. Participants who had written refutations of the mild attack (and thus who had practiced counterarguing) were less influenced by the strong attack than control participants were. Moreover, this was true even when the arguments contained in the strong attack differed from those to which participants had been exposed earlier. In this research, however, the mild attack that individuals refuted pertained to the same topic as the strong attack they encountered subsequently. Whether generating opposing arguments in one situation can influence people’s cognitive reactions to a message on an unrelated topic was unexplored. In fact, this influence can occur. The Role of Mindsets in Information Processing The processes that underlie the influence of people’s past cognitive behavior on their responses to subsequent persuasion can be conceptualized in terms of the impact of behavioral mindsets (Wyer and Xu 2010). A behavioral mindset is evidenced by the effect of performing a cognitive or motor activity on the likelihood of performing a similar behavior in a subsequent unrelated situation. In essence, it reflects the activation and use of a cognitive procedure. A procedure is represented in memory by a goal concept and a series of subgoals that, in combination, constitute a plan for attaining it (Kruglanski et al. 2002). These plan-goal representations are stored as part of declarative knowledge and can be retrieved and used as guides in deciding how to attain the objectives to which they are relevant. Moreover, procedures can be represented at several levels of abstractness, and several 9 situation-specific procedures can exemplify the same, more general one. For example, deciding which of two animals is larger and deciding which of two products to buy may both exemplify the same general procedure of making a comparative judgment. The operation of a mindset can be conceptualized in terms of an associative network model of knowledge accessibility (Collins and Loftus 1975; Higgins 1996). That is, performing a specific procedure in the course of attaining a goal activates a more general procedure that the specific one exemplifies. The activation of this general procedure increases the likelihood that other exemplars of the procedure will be called to mind and used in a later situation to which they are applicable. Thus, when more than one procedure can potentially be used to attain the same goal, the goal-directed behavior performed in an earlier situation can often influence which of these alternatives is selected and applied. Moreover, although individuals are normally conscious of the procedure they have selected, they may not be aware of the factors that gave rise to its selection. This conceptualization is supported by several areas of research. For example, Gollwitzer and his colleagues (Gollwitzer and Bayer 1999; Gollwitzer, Heckhausen, and Steller 1990) suggested that a consideration of the sequence of actions necessary to attain a chosen goal can activate an ―implemental‖ mindset that can persist to influence subsequent activities without considering whether or not to engage in them. Thus, inducing participants to purchase a product early in an experiment can increase their likelihood of making a second purchase later (Dhar, Huber, and Kahn 2007). Moreover, making comparative judgments in one domain (e.g., deciding which of two animals is larger) can activate a ―which-to-choose‖ mindset that disposes consumers to decide 10 which of two products to buy in a later situation without considering the possibility of buying nothing at all (Xu and Wyer 2007, 2008). Generating different responses to a series of questions about animals can induce a ―variety seeking‖ mindset that leads individuals to choose a greater variety of products in a multiple-choice decision they encounter later (Shen and Wyer 2010). Generating reasons why an event might not occur can induce a ―counterfactual thinking‖ mindset that decreases confidence in predicting the occurrence of an unrelated event in a later situation (Hirt, Kardes, and Markman 2004). Finally, activating an ―abstract thinking‖ mindset can lead participants to evaluate a brand extension on the basis of its fit to the parent brand (Meyvis, Goldsmith, and Dhar 2009) and also dispose participants to construe a situation in terms of abstract values and act under the guidance of these values (Torelli and Kaikati 2009). The Present Conceptualization People who receive a persuasive communication might either (a) generate thoughts that bolster its validity or (b) attempt to refute its implications. These dispositions are likely to depend on individuals’ expectations that they will agree or disagree with the view being expressed or, in the case of an advertisement, their expectations that the product being advertised is either appealing or unappealing. However, the dispositions could also be influenced by a mindset that is activated by the cognitive behavior that participants performed before encountering the persuasive communication.
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