¥ 4 ELS EVIER Author Index — Volume 73 Amaral, J., 277 Fernandez de Arroyabe, J.C., 860 Anderson, T.R., 1178 Ferrao, P., 215, 277 Arciszewski, T., 1059 Filho, L.F., 1013 Arranz, N., 860 FitzPatrick, D., 41 Ayres, R.U., 95, 1188 Fleetwood, T., 1084 Friedrich-Nishio, M., 138 Becker, H.A., 966 Bengisu, M., 835 Geesink, I., 41 Berry, J., 510 Gemba, K., 290 Bishop, P.C., 91, 1204 Genus, A., 13 Borras, S., 61 Georghiou, L., 761 Burton, M.P., 630 Gerdsri, P., 981 Glenn, J.C., 128 Chang, J.-R., 524 Goncalves, M.E., 1 Chang, Y.-C., 199 Gordon, T., 101, 321 Chen, C., 731 Goudos, S.K., 495 Chen, C.-J., 452 Green, K., 1084 Chen, J.-S., 168 Grupp, H.,.138 Chen, M.-H., 199 Guan, J.C., 666 Chen, Y., 559 Cheng, C.-H., 524 Hansson, S.O., 543 Harmaakorpi, V., 778 Chin, K.S., 666 Chirwa, E.C., 588 Harmon, R.R., 1178 Cho, Y., 362 Heitor, M., 215 Chu, P.Y., 886 Heitor, M.V., 266 Herder, P.M., 215 Coates, J.F., 121, 903, 912 Hilas, C.S., 495 Coelho, G.M., 1013 Conceicao, P., 266 Hsiung, H.H., 886 Hsu, W.-T., 422 Courseault Trumbach, C., 937 Cunningham, S.W., 915 Hua, M., 199 Huebner, J., 906 Hung, S.-C., 436 Daim, T.U., 316, 981 Dator, J., 1056 D’Emden, F.H., 630 Ilonen, J., 182 de Miranda Santo, M., 1013 Inman, O.L., 1178 Devezas, T.C., 112 Dewick, P., 1084 Jakobs, K., 27 Dijkema, G.P.J., 215, 250, 302 Jan, T.-S., 559 dos Santos, D.M., 1013 Kalviainen, H., 182 Fan, Y., 405 Kamarainen, J.-K., 182 Faulkner, A., 41 Keenan, M., 761 Technological Forecasting and Social Change 73, 1211—1212 (2006) © 2006 Elevier Science Inc. All rights reserved. 0040-1625/$ - see front matter 360 Park Avenue South, New York, NY 10010-1710 doi: 10.1016/S0040-1625(06)00201-0 1212 AUTHOR INDEX—VOLUME 73 _ Kent, J., 41 Payne, D., 937 Kim, J., 377 Pease, A., 321 Kim, S.-w., 648 Pentikainen, T., 1028 Knoben, J., 390 Porter, A.L., 915 Kodama, F., 290 Pun, K.F., 666 Koh, H., 1061 Puumalainen, K., 182 Koh, W.T.H., 87 Kongthon, A., 937 Ramanathan, R., 483 Kostoff, R.N., 923 Rask, M., 705 Reichardt, B., 813 Landeta, J., 467 Reuter, M.A., 302 Lee, C.-Y., 362 Rueda, G., 981 Lee, J., 362 Rutten, R.P.J.H., 390 Lee, J.-D., 362 Lee, J.J., 290 Sahalos, J.N., 495 LePoire, D.J., 153 Salo, A., 1028 Li, F., 510 Sanders, K., 966 Li, P.-C., 168 Scapolo, F., 679 Liang, Q.-M., 405: Shapira, P., 950 Lin, B.-W., 168, 436, 452 Sharma, K., 83 Lin, J.T., 422 Shin, D.H., 1144 Lin, Y.L., 886 Sousa, [., 228 Linstone, H.A., 76, 80 Sundqvist, S., 182 Liu, T.Y., 886 Sung, T.K., 1161 Llewellyn, R.S., 630 Lo, S.-L., 422 Tang, H.K., 845 Tsai, H.-T., 405 Magee, C.L., 1061 Turton, H., 607 Mao, M., 588 Martin, H., 981 Uotila, T., 778 Marz, S., 138 Mild, P., 1028 van Houwelingen, J.A., 302 Miles, I., 679 Verhoef, E.V., 302 Miozzo, M., 1084 Vieira, P.S., 266 Mishra, V., 318 Modis, T., 104 Wallace, D., 228 Mok, C.K., 666 Wang, F.-K., 422 Moon, H.-S., 575 Wang, Y.-T., 422 Moors, E.H.M., 250 Watanabe, C., 731 Mulder, K.F., 1209 Weber, C., 813 Muller, E., 1107 Wei, Y.-M., 405 Weimer-Jehle, W., 334 Nekhili, R., 835 Will, N., 1045 Newman, N.C., 915 Wu, H.-L., 452 Wu, S.-Y., 436 Oerlemans, L.A.G., 390 Okada, N., 405 Yam, R.C.M., 666 Ozman, M., 1121 Yang, P.Y., 199 Yeh, C.-A., 524 Palm, E., 543 Yeon, S.-j., 648 Papagiannidis, S., 510 Yogev, G., 1107 Park, G., 793 Yoo, S.-H., 575 Park, S.-h., 648 Youtie, J., 950 Park, Y., 793 BOOK REVIEW INDEX—VOLUME 73 1213 Book Review Index — Volume 73 Arciszewski, T., Technological Transitions and Sys- Dator, J.. From Resource Scarcity to Ecological tem Innovations, A Co-Evolutionary and Security: Exploring New Limits to Growth, Socio-Technical Analysis, (F. W. Geels), 1057 (D. Pirages and K. Cousins), 1051 Ayres, R.U., The Singularity is Near: When Humans Koh, W.T.H., Knowledge and Innovatiofno r Develop- Transcend Biology, (R. Kurzweil), 95 ment: The Sisyphus Challenge of the 21st Century, Bishop, P.C., Tech Mining: Exploiting New Techno- (F. Sagasti and E. Elgar), 87 logies for Competitive Advantage, (A.L. Porter Linstone, H.A., The Worlds of Herman Kahn: and S. Cunningham), 91 The Intuitive Science of Thermonuclear War, Bishop, P.C., Limits to Growth, (D. Meadows, (S. Ghamari-Tabrizi), 76 D. Meadows, J. Randers), 1204 Linstone, H.A., State of the Future, (J. C. Glenn and Daim, T., Underwriting the Internet — How Technical T. J. Gordon), 80 Advances, Financial Engineering and Entrepre- Mishra, V., The End of Software, (T. Chou), 318 neurial Genius are Building the Information Sharma, K., Computer: A History of the Information Highway, (L.S. Hiraoka), 316 Machine, (M. Campbell-Kelly and W. Aspray), 83 Subject Index — Volume 73 Academic innovation, towards a ‘scientific-economic’ Cross-impact, a system-theoretical analysis approach, framework in Taiwan, 73:199 73:334 Almost real time Delphi, an efficient real time experts’s knowledge, a comparison of two method, 73:321 methods, Delphi and cross-impact analyses, Australian cropping regions, adoption of conversation 73:679 tillage, an application of duration analysis, 73:630 Customer’s expectation and satisfaction, a dynamic Automobile transport, an integrated sustainable sce- diffusion model, 73:648 nario analysis in the 21st century, 73:607 Auto recycling, assessing the economics of related Data mining, improvement of university library activities under the new EU Directive on end of services, 73:1045 life vehicles, 73:277 Data mining, measures for knowledge-based eco- A visible end to innovation, technical discussion, 73:903 nomic development for economic developers in the state of Georgia and the US South, Bibliometrics, and patent analysis for forecasting 73:950 emerging technologies, 73:981 Delphi, an efficient, “round-less” almost real time Biotechnology, analysis of a debate on the future and Delphi method, 73:321 risks of Finnish forest biotechnology, 73:705 Delphi, current validity of the method in social sciences, 73:467 | i China, use of an input-output model to assess how and cross-impact, experts’ knowledge, a com- social and economic changes affect energy parison of two methods, 73:679 requirements and energy intensity, 73:405 Design concepts, product classification to support Chinese firms, technology transfer and innovation approximate life-cycle assessment, 73:228 performance, 73:666 Diffusion of innovations, automatic forecasts for, Constructive technology assessment, rethinking as a 73:182 democratic, reflective and discursive process, Digital economy, empirical findings of its infra- etnah!apa cnste 73:13 structure in the case of Korea, 73:377 nottsAo w in t 1214 SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 73 Digital multimedia broadcasting, socio-technical chal- Human tissue engineered technologies, framing the lenges, survey of Korean mobile television case for a new regulatory regime in Europe, development, 73:1144 73:41 Discussion of Coates’ commentary, a visible end to innovation, 73:903 ICT market, diffusion, substitution and competition Drivers of innovation, environmental concerns in dynamism, the case of Japan, 73:731 Portugal, 73:266 ICT, relations between user-side innovation and Dutch waste management system, industrial ecology standardisation, 73:27 and waste infrastructure development, 73:302 Industrial ecology, a roadmap for the Dutch waste management system, 73:302 E-commerce critical success factors, East vs. West, Industrial production systems, lessons from waste 73:1161 management in zinc production, 73:250 Emerging technologies, forecasting with the aid of Industrial structure change, and technological diffu- science and technology databases, 73:835 sion, modelling creative destruction, 73:1084 Emerging technologies, forecasting using bibliomet- Information technology, a functional approach to rics and patent analysis, 73:981 studying technological progress, 73:1061 Innovation for sustainability, trends and opportunities End of life vehicles, new EU Directive, assessing the economics of auto recycling activities, 73:277 in the learning society, 73:215 Environmental foresight, relationship between envi- Innovation simulation model, knowledge transfer, 73:138 ronmental concerns and innovation in Portu- Intellectual capital, an empirical study of ITRI, 73:886 guese manufacturing firms, 73:266 Environmental performance improvement, analyzing Internet service, estimation of the demand for future portable service in Korea, 73:575 the innovation process, 73:290 Inter-organizational network structures, overview of European technology policy, joint R&D projects, the available insights concerning radical experiences in the context of, 73:860 changes, 73:390 Experts’ knowledge, a comparison of two methods, IPv6, and the next generation television, 73:510 Delphi and cross-impact analyses, 73:679 IT, entropy-based and trapezoid fuzzification-based Exponential growth, turning point, from my perspective, approaches for forecasting project cost, 73:524 73:1188 ITRI, intellectual capital, an empirical study of, 73:886 From my perspective: Japan, diffusion, substitution and competition dyna- turning point: the end of exponential growth, mism inside the ICT market, 73:731 73:1188 Jet fighter aircraft, predicting U.S. introductions from Fuzzy time series, entropy-based and trapezoid 1944 to 1982, dogfight between regression and fuzzification-based approaches for forecasting TFDEA, 73:1178 IT project cost, 73:524 Joint R&D projects, experiences in the context of European technology policy, 73:860 Genetically modified organisms, legitimate gover- nance of risk at EU level, 73:61 Knowledge-based economic development, data min- Georgia, introducing data mining techniques, ing techniques to economic developers in the measures for knowledge-based economic state of Georgia and the US South, 73:950 development, 73:950 Knowledge indicators, measure of patent stock, Germany, corporate venture capital, analysis in 2000 73:793 and 2003, 73:813 Knowledge integration, and network formation, Governance of innovation, and the risk, in Europe, 73:1 73:1121 Governance of risk, EU level, the case of genetically Knowledge prospecting, technology mining for small modified organisms, 73:61 firms, 73:937 Grey model, application to vehicle fatality risk Knowledge transfer, in an innovation simulation estimation, 73:588 model, 73:138 I aeDNaEaBhnAlAnliT “aeiR a l EShencAT cRS n AI S RaE mRITm n EC SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 73 1215 Korea, estimation of the demand for future portable Portuguese innovation, interpretation of innovation Internet service, 73:575 data to foster environmental foresight, 73:266 Korea, infrastructure of its digital economy and some empirical findings, 73:377 Radical discovery and innovation, systematic accel- Korean mobile television development, socio-techni- eration in science and technology, 73:923 cal challenges in the development of digital R&D, system for industrial development in Taiwan, multimedia broadcasting, 73:1144 73:559 Regional development, building regional visionary Large-screen television, use of conjoint analysis with capability and futures research, 73:778 diffusion model to forecast future demand, Regression and TFDEA, dogfight, predicting U.S. jet 73:362 fighter aircraft introductions from 1944 to 1982, Learning society, trends and opportunities framing 73:1178 innovation for sustainability, 73:215 Regulatory regime, governance of human tissue Life-cycle assessment, for design concepts and engineered technologies, 73:41 development of product classification, 73:228 Risk, and the governance of innovation in Europe, An Logistic analysis, recent environmental interest, introduction 73:1 73:153 Risk, pre-assessment of Finnish forest biotechnology, 73:705 Main market adopters, empirical analysis of the time Roadmap for the Dutch waste management system, sales purchasing, 73:1107 industrial ecology and waste infrastructure Mea culpa? No, 73:912 development, 73:302 Meta-analysis, social impact analysis relevant for tech mining, innovations in, 73:966 Sales, empirical analysis of the time at which main Military environmental health considerations, nano- market adopters purchase, 73:1107 technology and the future, 73:128 Scenario analysis of energy requirements, in China’s Modelling creative destruction, technological diffu- rapidly developing society in the year 2020, sion and industrial structure change to 2050, 73:405 73:1084 Scenario, sustainable global automobile transport in Multi-factor efficiency perspective, relationships the 21st century, an integrated analysis, 73:607 among world GDP, energy consumption and Science and technology databases, for forecasting carbon dioxide emissions, 73:483 emerging technologies, 73:835 Semiconductor wafer foundries, agile strategy adap- Nanotechnology, future military environmental health tation, example from Taiwan, 73:436 considerations, 73:128 Social capital, capabilities, and entrepreneurial strat- Nanotechnology, text mining as a valuable tool in egies, study of Taiwanese high-tech new ven- foresight exercises, 73:1013 tures, 73:168 National foresight activities, assessing rationale, Socio-technical challenges, development of digital process and impact, 73:761 multimedia broadcasting, survey of Korean Navigation technologies, five historical and contem- mobile television development, 73:1144 porary cases, 73:845 | Network formation, and knowledge integration, Taiwan, agile strategy adaptation in semiconductor 73:1121 wafer foundries, 73:436 Taiwan, managing academic innovation, towards a | Patent analysis, and bibliometrics for forecasting ‘scientific-economic’ framework, 73:199 | emerging technologies, 73:981 Taiwan, the R&D system for industrial development, Patent stock, as knowledge indicators, measurement 73:559 | of, 73:793 Taiwanese high-tech new ventures, a study of the Portfolio modeling, exploring causal relationships in effects of social capabilities, and entrepreneurial an innovation program, 73:1028 strategies, 73:168 1216 SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 73 Taiwan’s science park, evaluating the development of TFT-LCD market, a methodology for the analysis of high-tech industries, 73:452 the supply and demand, 73:422 Tech mining, Introduction, Special Issue, 73:915 The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend innovations in meta-analysis and social impact Biology, Book Review and Discussions, 73:95, analysis, 73:966 101, 104, 112, 121 as a method to aid small firms, knowledge Tillage, in Australian cropping regions, an application prospecting for competitive advantage, 73:937 of duration analysis,73:630 Technology and Social Risk, Special Issue, 73/1 Technology assessment, proposal for new method that University library services, and data-mining, 73:1045 will focus on the ethical implications of new User-side innovation, shaping through standardisation technologies, 73:543 in ICT, 73:27 Technology transfer and innovation, exploring the relationship with reference to Chinese industrial Vehicle fatality risk, application of the grey model for firms, 73:666 its estimation, 73:588 Technological Change and the Environment, Special Venture capital, in Germany, a comparative analysis Issue, 73/3 of 2000 and 2003, 73:813 Technological diffusion, and industrial structure change, modelling creative destruction, 73:1084 Waste infrastructure development, industrial ecology Technological progress, a functional approach, appli- as a roadmap for sustainability, 73:302 cation to information technology, 73:1061 Waste management, development and implementation Telecommunication data, seasonal decomposition and options in embedded industrial production forecasting, a comparative case study, 73:495 systems, 73:250 Text mining, as a valuable tool in foresight exercises, When does the majority become a majority, empirical study on nanotechnology, 73:1013 analysis, main market adopters, 73:1107 Technological Forecasting and Social Change An International Journal Volume 73, Number 1, January 2006 Contents Special Issue Technology and Social Risk Guest Editor: Maria E. Goncalves MARIA EDUARDA Risk and the Governance of Innovation in Europe: GONCALVES An Introduction (Lisbon, Portugal) AUDLEY GENUS ~ Rethinking Constructive Technology Assessment as 13 (Newcastle upon Tyne, | Democratic, Reflective, Discourse United Kingdom) KAI JAKOBS — Shaping User-Side Innovation through Standardisation: 27 (Aachen, Germany) The Example of ICT J. KENT Towards Governance of Human Tissue Engineered 41 (Bristol, UK) | Technologies in Europe: Framing the Case for a new | A. FAULKNER _ Regulatory Regime I. GEESINK (Cardiff, Wales) D. FITZPATRICK (Dublin, Ireland) SUSANA BORRAS Legitimate Governance of Risk at the EU Level? The Case 61 (Roskilde, Denmark) — of Genetically Modified Organisms Book Reviews HAROLD A. LINSTONE The Worlds of Herman Kahn: The Intuitive Science of 76 | (Portland, OR, USA) Thermonuclear War 1 (S. Ghamari-Tabriz1) { HAROLD A. LINSTONE _ State of the Future 80 | (Portland, OR, USA) (J.C. Glenn, T.J. Gordon) j KISH SHARMA ~— Computer: A History of the Information Machine 83 | (Solana beach, CA, United States) | (M. Campbell-Kelly, W. Aspray) | WINSTON T.H. KOH — Knowledge and Innovatiofno r Development: The Sisyphus 87 (Singapore) Challenge of the 21st Century | (F. Sagasti) PETER C. BISHOP — Tech Mining: Exploiting New Technologiefso r Competitive 91 (Houston, TX, USA) Advantage (A.L. Porter, S. Cunningham) Technological Forecasting and Social Change An International Journal Volume 73, Number 2, February 2006 Contents Book Review and Discussion The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology — (R. Kurzweil) ROBERT U. AYRES Book Review (Laxenburg, Austria) TED GORDON Discussion (Old Lyme, CT, United States) THEODORE MODIS Discussion (Massagno, Switzerland) TESSALENO C. DEVEZAS Discussion (Covilha, Portugal) JOSEPH F. COATES Discussion (Washington, D.C., United States) JEROME C. GLENN Nanotechnology: Future sities Environmental Health (Washington, D.C., United States) Considerations SVEN MARZ Knowledge Transfer in an Innovation Simulation MONIKA FRIEDRICH-NISHIO Model HARIOLF GRUPP (Karlsruhe, Germany) DAVID J. LEPOIRE Logistic Analysis of Recent Environmental Interest (Argonne, IL, United States) BOU-WEN LIN Social Capital, Capabilities, and Entrepreneurial (Hsinchu, Taiwan, R.O.C.) Strategies: A Study of Taiwanese High-Tech new PO-CHIEN LI Ventures JA-SHEN CHEN (Chung-Li.Taiwan. R.O.C.) JARMO ILONEN Toward Automatic Forecasts for Diffusion of JONI-KRISTIAN KAMARAINEN Innovations KAISU PUUMALAINEN SANNA SUNDOVIST HEIKKI KALVIAINEN (Lappeenranta, Finland) RSSend ORENTO YUAN-CHIEH CHANG Managing Academic Innovation in Taiwan: Towards a (Hsinchu, Taiwan, R.O.C.) ‘Scientific-Economic’ Framework gePoW2ehGaRR IaeEe cAOnmSc idi ae a nt nn MING-HUEI CHEN (Taichung, Taiwan, R.O.C.) MINGSHU HUA (Nantou, Taiwan, R.O.C.) aLiai ka PHIL Y. YANG (Taichung, Taiwan, R.O.C.) Technological Forecasting and Social Change An International Journal Volume 73, Number 3, March 2006 Contents Special Issue Technological Change and the Environment Guest Editors: G.P.J. Dijkema, P. Ferrao and M. Heitor G.P.J. DISKEMA Introduction: Trends and Opportunities Framing 215 (Delft, The Netherlands) Innovation for Sustainability in the Learning Society P. FERRAO (Lisbon, Portugal) P.M. HERDER (Delft, The Netherlands) M. HEITOR (Lisbon, Portugal) INES SOUSA Product Classification to Support Approximate 228 DAVID WALLACE Life-Cycle Assessment of Design Concepts (Cambridge, MA, USA) ELLEN H.M. MOORS Embedded Industrial Production Systems: Lessons 250 (Utrecht, The Netherlands) from Waste Management in Zinc Production GERARD P.J. DISKEMA (Delft, The Netherlands) PEDRO CONCEICAO Are Environmental Concerns Drivers of Innovation? 266 MANUEL V. HEITOR Interpreting Portuguese Innovation Data to Foster '} (Lisbon, Portugal) Environmental Foresight } PEDRO S. VIEIRA 4 i (Berkeley, CA, USA) e E & PAULO FERRAO Assessing the Economics of Auto Recycling Activities 277 JOSE AMARAL in Relation to European Union Directive on End of Life (Lisbon, Portugal) Vehicles ARBANDNTEO E ON R JOOSUNG J. LEE Analyzing the Innovation Process for Environmental 290 KIMINORI GEMBA Performance Improvement FUMIO KODAMA (Tokyo, Japan) E.V. VERHOEF Industrial Ecology and Waste Infrastructure Development: J.A. VAN HOUWELINGEN A Roadmap for the Dutch Waste Management System G.P.J. DISKEMA M.A. REUTER (Delft, The Netherlands) aeiecaciaSynta nlaae iieetss i elalin e (contents continued overleaf) aSiPPER ORT (contents continued) Contents Book Reviews TUGRUL DAIM — Underwriting the Internet — How Technical Advances, 316 (Portland, OR, USA) Financial Engineering and Entrepreneurial Genius are Building the Information Highway (L.S. Hiraoka) VISHAL MISHRA ~The End of Software 318 (Waltham, MA, USA) _ (T. Chou) : , | | } H eenveenwDee nee rnenri ce ipt e