SEVEN ELEMENTS THAT HAVE CHANGED THE WORLD ‘The human quest for knowledge and insight has led to extraordinary progress. It has transformed the lives we lead and the world we live in. But that onward march has also thrown us huge challenges about how we treat each other and the planet on which we live. This book forces us to confront these realities and does it in a unique and fascinating way. It weaves science and humanity together in a way that gives us new insight. This is an expertly crafted book by a unique thinker and talented engineer and businessman.’ – Tony Blair ‘The progress and prosperity that humanity has achieved’, writes John Browne, ‘is driven by people – scientists, business people and politicians.’ The author has the rare distinction of having wide and deep experience of all three fields, and this is what makes Seven Elements such a fascinating and enjoyable book. Part popular science, part history, part memoir, these pages are infused with insight, shaped by the experience of a FTSE 100 Chief Executive and lifted by the innate optimism of a scientist.’ – Brian Cox ‘Seven Elements is a boon for those, like me, who gave up science much too soon in our teens. John Browne has found a fascinating way of helping us break through the crust of our ignorance. The scientific literate too will relish his personal mix of historical knowledge and technical prowess with his gift for making the complicated understandable.’ – Peter Hennessy ‘John Browne uses seven elements, building blocks of the physical world, to explore a multitude of worlds beyond. From the rise of civilizations, to some of today’s most important challenges and opportunities, to the frontiers of research, he weaves together science, history, politics and personal experience. Browne tells a lively story that enables us to see the essential elements of modern life in a new, original and highly engaging way.’ – Daniel Yergin, Pulitzer Prize-winning author of The Quest: Energy, Security and the Making of the Modern World and The Prize SEVEN ELEMENTS THAT HAVE CHANGED THE WORLD JOHN BROWNE Weidenfeld & Nicolson LONDON Dedication To QNN CONTENTS Cover Title page Dedication Preface The Essence of Everything IRON CARBON GOLD SILVER URANIUM TITANIUM SILICON Power, Progress and Destruction Acknowledgements List of Maps List of Illustrations Notes Bibliography Index Also by John Browne Copyright PREFACE WHY SEVEN? T he number seven has always held a central place in myth, music and literature. The world was created in seven days; there are seven notes in the diatonic scale; and, according to Shakespeare, there are seven ages of man. In conceiving this book, I was also drawn to the number seven and so I asked myself: which of the seven chemical elements help us best to understand our world and how it came to be? I also thought about which have had the greatest influence on my life and which I have experienced most directly. Carbon, which in combination with hydrogen forms the bulk of crude oil, was obvious. So too was iron, the backbone of all industry since the eighteenth- century Industrial Revolution (and without which no oil could be extracted). Silver came next to my mind as the element that made possible photography, one of my lifelong passions. Looking for further inspiration, I found in my library my school copy of the periodic table, which organises the elements according to their chemical properties. As I scanned the chequerboard, from left to right, I passed along the elements, each containing one more proton in its nucleus than the last.1 First is hydrogen, vitally important in combination with so many other elements to form the structures of life and, as a result, fossil fuels.2 But in its own right, hydrogen did not seem world-changing. Passing further along, I came to silicon, sitting directly below carbon as both elements contain four electrons in their outermost shell. I thought back to my time on the board of Intel, the pioneers of the silicon microchip. Their ubiquitous nature in our day-to-day lives – in making possible our digital world – made silicon another obvious choice for inclusion. Appearing in its world-changing form at the same time as silicon in the 1940s was titanium, the next element I stopped at. Once it was going to be the miracle element, a dream that did not quite work out. But what most drew me to it was its little-known use as a whitening agent in almost everything that is white. I learnt of this through business with Quebec Iron and Titanium in Canada. It surprised me then, and continues to astound me now. Traversing the remainder of this line, I passed a number of familiar metals: iron, cobalt, nickel, copper, zinc. All of them are so important but, I wondered, which one actually changed the world. I stuck with my choice of iron and left copper behind; electrical engineering will have its fair share with silicon. I passed silver, the element of photography, and then in the line below reached gold. Its universal allure led to its use in coins, the basis of currencies for centuries and the foundation of international trade. Gold became a great motivator for global expansion and imperial ambition. But the same attraction has led many to commits acts of immense cruelty. It continues to captivate us today. Finally, I reached the bottom of the periodic table, six elements in tow. Here I came to uranium, whose nucleus, having accumulated so many protons and neutrons on the journey down the periodic table, is very unstable. That characteristic defined the post-war era on a day in 1945 in a city in Japan, and for that reason it is the seventh element. Time and again, while writing this book, I have revisited the periodic table, questioning this choice of seven elements and questioning the choice of the number seven. Iron, carbon, gold, silver, uranium, titanium, silicon; each time, these seven elements have stood out as having most powerfully changed the course of human history. These seven elements have shaped the vast complexities of our social, economic and cultural existence. These seven elements hold a grip on our emotions – and our history – like no others. I cannot think of an eighth. The Essence of Everything T he elements are the source of all human prosperity and a great deal of human suffering. In numerous ways, I have seen both. Over the course of my forty-five years in business, including twelve as the leader of BP, I saw the very best and the very worst that the elements can do for humanity. As a child, when I asked my father to tell me a story, improbably he really did begin with ‘once upon a time . . .’. That is where the story of the elements begins. If you pointed a very powerful radio telescope out into the sky, you would detect a stream of low-energy radiation coming from every direction. This radiation has been travelling undisturbed through space ever since the first elements were formed some fourteen billion years ago. It is the remnant, or echo, of the Big Bang that gave birth to the Universe. At first, the Universe was nothing more than a fluid of pure energy. As it expanded and so cooled, particles, which are the basic building blocks of matter – protons, neutrons and electrons – appeared from the fluid. The Universe kept cooling and allowed the particles to fuse together to become helium and deuterium (a heavy form of hydrogen). This process of nuclear fusion would later give birth to all the other elements inside the stars. I would ask my father to tell me stories about science, but he would not because he did not like the subject. To keep me quiet, he gave me a book of Christmas lectures by the physicist Sir William Bragg, originally delivered at the Royal Institution in 1923. In Concerning the Nature of Things, Bragg describes how atoms of different elements could join to form the vast complexity of the world around us.1 At some stage, they had then combined to create life itself with its astounding ability to shape our chaotic world. I was amazed that, at a fundamental level, our own lives and even our thoughts are simply the result of these atomic interactions. In the early twentieth century, Bragg and his son Lawrence were pioneers in the field of x-ray crystallography. They used x-rays to look at matter in unprecedented detail.2 With these ‘new eyes’, the Braggs transformed our view of the elements, just as John Dalton’s atomic theory and Mendeleev’s periodic table had done in the century before.3 As a teenager growing up in southern Iran, where my father was stationed, I was surrounded by oil and its awe-inspiring industry. I was thrilled by watching the huge machinery which drilled the wells that produced the oil. As I had learnt from Bragg’s lectures, oil is composed of hydrogen and carbon. ‘Under the proper stimulus and in the presence of oxygen,’ wrote Bragg, ‘the atoms rush into fresh combination, developing great heat in doing so.’4 I was fascinated by the process of transformation which produced the energy to transform society. Carbon, in the form of hydrocarbons, brought people heat, light and mobility, and so created freedom and new ways of life. Nowhere was that more evident than in China. On my first visit in 1979, only three years after the death of Mao, the country was poor, bleak and bland. There were hardly any motor vehicles on the streets, merely a monochrome sea of miserable men and women in grey-green suits travelling by foot or by bicycle. Today China feels like the centre of the world, overflowing with skyscrapers and cars and bustling with people. Hundreds of millions of people have found prosperity in this transformation, a transformation that has been fuelled by carbon-based energy, of which China is now the world’s largest consumer.5 In Azerbaijan, at the other end of Asia, I saw how hydrocarbons could bring great benefits to a country. The most visible beneficiaries appeared to be the ruling elite associated with allegations of corruption and the abuse of power, but there were real economic benefits to its citizens. The oil pipeline from Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan on the Caspian Sea, to Ceyhan on the shore of the Turkish Mediterranean, completed in 2005, stretches for a thousand miles, through three countries and the lands of more than a hundred ethnic groups. More than 30,000 contracts were signed to secure the rights of the local people. As a result, the pipeline and the oil that flows through it have provided many benefits to the people of Azerbaijan, tripling the average income over the last decade.6 China and Azerbaijan are just two examples of how hydrocarbons, our primary fuel source since the Industrial Revolution, can transform our way of life for the better. But there and elsewhere, I saw carbon bring pollution and pain alongside prosperity. En route to Anchorage, Alaska, in 1989, I looked out of the window of the plane to see below us the Exxon Valdez that had earlier run aground. Oil was flowing out of her side, coating the water and the white ice in satin black. It was an extraordinarily powerful image, which remains with me to this day, of the harmful impact that hydrocarbons can have on the natural world. Elsewhere, greed, fuelled by carbon, has caused more than physical hurt to people and the environment; it has changed people’s very nature, bringing out their darkest side. In the 1990s, I was responsible for a huge Colombian oilfield, located in the foothills of the Llanos Mountains in an area rife with drug lords, paramilitaries and bandits who were drawn to the oil like flies to a carcass. To protect ourselves we built a tall barbed-wire fence and surrounded ourselves with armed guards. People outside the fence soon grew to despise us and kidnappings and attacks became frighteningly common. They saw us profiting from a natural resource that they believed belonged to them, and they wanted a share of the returns to remain in their community. We responded by building taller fences, travelling everywhere by helicopter and bringing in the Colombian army. All sides were overcome with fear, anger and greed, fuelling human division, hatred and ultimately war.7 But carbon is not my only focus. Of the ninety-eight naturally occurring chemical elements on the periodic table, there are six others that have most powerfully changed the course of human history: iron, gold, silver, uranium, titanium and silicon. This book traces the story of how they have enabled progress as well as destruction, of the power they give humans to do good and evil, and of their capacity to shape our future. Progress For the greater part of our existence, we lived more like lower-order animals than humans, spending our days on the most basic of activities, searching for food, water and shelter. In that existence, there was no choice: everything was done to survive. About 50,000 years ago, humanity took a ‘Great Leap Forward’ with a wave of behavioural innovations that included the start of complex language, the first cave art, the origins of religious ritual and the beginnings of barter trade.8 The timing and the origins of these changes are disputed, but there is little doubt that it was intimately connected to our use of the elements; new ways of carving limestone, creating iron pigments, and controlling wood fires. The creative use of the elements made our survival less burdensome and gave humanity the tools to lay the foundations of civilisation. Beyond this, they have continued to give us the means to do great things, to give us more freedom and to give us more choices in the conduct of our daily lives. Human progress can be measured by our ability to harness greater amounts of energy and so transform the world far beyond what would be achievable by human strength alone. No energy source has been more potent than carbon, in the form of wood, coal, oil and natural gas. Coal enabled industrial revolutions in Europe and the US, as it gave us the ability to expand our productivity; an