Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics Eugenio Brentari Marcello Chiodi Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit   Editors Models for Data Analysis SIS 2018, Palermo, Italy, June 20–22 Società Italiana di Statistica Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics Volume 402 This book series features volumes composed of selected contributions from workshops and conferences in all areas of current research in mathematics and statistics,includingdatascience,operationsresearchandoptimization.Inaddition to an overall evaluation of the interest, scientific quality, and timeliness of each proposalatthehandsofthepublisher,individualcontributionsareallrefereedtothe highqualitystandardsofleadingjournalsinthefield.Thus,thisseriesprovidesthe researchcommunitywithwell-edited,authoritativereportsondevelopmentsinthe mostexcitingareasofmathematicalandstatisticalresearchtoday. · · Eugenio Brentari Marcello Chiodi Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit Editors Models for Data Analysis SIS 2018, Palermo, Italy, June 20–22 Editors EugenioBrentari MarcelloChiodi DepartmentofEconomicsandManagement DepartmentofEconomics,Business UniversityofBrescia andStatistics Brescia,Italy UniversityofPalermo Palermo,Italy Ernst-JanCamielWit StatisticalComputingLaboratory,Faculty ofInformatics UniversitàdellaSvizzeraItaliana Lugano,Switzerland ISSN 2194-1009 ISSN 2194-1017 (electronic) SpringerProceedingsinMathematics&Statistics ISBN 978-3-031-15884-1 ISBN 978-3-031-15885-8 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-15885-8 MathematicsSubjectClassification:62-06,62-07,62H,62J,62P12,62P20,62P25 ©TheEditor(s)(ifapplicable)andTheAuthor(s),underexclusivelicensetoSpringerNature SwitzerlandAG2023 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsaresolelyandexclusivelylicensedbythePublisher,whether thewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuse ofillustrations,recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,and transmissionorinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilar ordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Thepublisher,theauthors,andtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformationinthisbook arebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressedorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregardtojurisdictional claimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Organization ProgramChairs ErnstWit,UniversitadellaSvizzeraitaliana,Switzerland MarcelloChiodi,UniversityofPalermo,Italy FrancescaFerrari,Springer EugenioBrentari,UniversityofBrescia,Italy ProgramCommittee EugenioBrentari,UniversityofBrescia,Italy FilomenaRacioppi,Sapienza,UniversityofRome,Italy MonicaPratesi,(chairSIS)UniversityofPisa,Italy MarcelloChiodi,UniversityofPalermo,Italy AnnamariaBianchi,UniversityofBergamo,Italy FrancescoMariaChelli,MarchePolytechnicUniversity,Italy AndreaCutillo,ItalianNationalInstituteofStatistics,Italy AlessandraDeRose,SapienzaUniversityofRome,Italy DanieleDurante,BocconiUniversity,Italy FedeleGreco,UniversityofBologna,Italy LeonardoGrilli,UniversityofFlorence,Italy PieroManfredi,UniversityofPisa,Italy MaricaManisera,UniversityofBrescia,Italy Antonietta Mira, University of Svizzera italiana, Switzerland and University of Insubria,Italy MarcellaNiglio,UniversityofSalerno,Italy FrancescoPalumbo,UniversityofNaples,Italy ElviraRomano,SecondUniversityofNaples,Italy NicolaTedesco,UniversityofCagliari,Italy v Preface The49thScientificmeetingoftheItalianStatisticalSocietywasheldinJune2018 inPalermo,withmorethan450attendants. Themeetingcoveredawideareaofappliedaswellastheoreticalissues,according to the modern trends in statistical sciences. There were three plenary sessions on Ratingdata,GlobalclimatedynamicsandComputationalmethodsinbiomedicine; twenty specialized and twenty-five solicited sessions, as well as oral and poster- contributed sessions. The whole program is still available at the conference site: http://meetings3.sis-statistica.org/index.php/sis2018/49th. This book presents a selection of contributions of Authors who presented an extended version of their conference presentation, which are original unpublished works. As usual, every contribution has been submitted to standard double-blind refereeing,andthefinalresultisapictureofthestateoftheartofstatisticalresearch inrecentyears. Unfortunately, there was some delay in publishing the final version also due to the COVID-19 pandemic situation, but finally, we are here to present a collection oftwentypapersthatdealwithmodernmethodologicalaswellasappliedtopicsof modelsfordataanalysis. recession sesreielesctiontesteinpgidemwioelollgbiceainlg applinctaotiurniooreinbsqmuufeaserltittcvyilaacitsolyuemasmpotiabcoirainoslaodnfoysepriremelecduailcqtsstaiuotninianeangotuinlseposteriormstuolctihvaasritaicte asssepdiunnscreredsocovttmiheppewclocuayeoootilmarkovtncniasroohkegtainferencerneistlregressioaualdtphipnqaroluatuxiiambmitmslieaatnayimntsleigeaoasoddtnueldddalyliypnasegpetrssiaopltsiasmatiiaicatnnarlaidgesvtlheaikieltpaoxywtoeconomicfenpudopunnestatisticalrrmcliakstctentiaoiesepeoigfoombsvrnfnnineniilocalcealdocilsetrilenntygnguncertaintyeycaer nonparametric clustering distribuetfifoencptsoverty performancematching vii viii Preface TohaveagraphicalideaofwhatSIS2018hasbeenlike,perhapsthebestthing istoreproducetheconferencewordcloud. Palermo,Italy EugenioBrentari June2022 MarcelloChiodi Ernst-JanCamielWit Contents EnvironmentalVibrationDataAnalysisforDamageDetection onaCivilEngineeringStructure .................................... 1 GiannaAgrò UsingDifferentialGeometryforSparseHigh-DimensionalRisk RegressionModels ................................................. 9 LuigiAugugliaro, ErnstC.Wit, HassanPazira, JavierGonzález, FentawAbegaz,andAngeloM.Mineo PerceivedBenefitsandIndividualCharacteristicsofInternationally MobileStudents:ADiscreteLatentVariableAnalysis ................. 25 SilviaBacci,ValeriaCaviezel,andAnnaMariaFalzoni Consumers’ Preferences for Coffee Consumption: A Choice ExperimentIntegratedwithTastingandChemicalAnalyses ........... 41 RossellaBerni,NedkaD.Nikiforova,andPatriziaPinelli UrbanTransformationsandtheSpatialDistributionofForeign ImmigrantsinMessina ............................................. 53 FrancescaBitonti, AngeloMazza, MassimoMucciardi, andLuigiScrofani CulturalParticipationandSocialInequalityintheDigitalAge: AMultilevelCross-NationalAnalysisinEurope ...................... 69 LauraBocciandIsabellaMingo ReducingBiasoftheMatchingEstimatorofTreatmentEffect inaNonexperimentalEvaluationProcedure ......................... 87 MariaGabriellaCampolo, AntoninoDiPinoIncognito, andEdoardoOtranto GenderGapAssessmentandInequalityDecomposition ............... 109 MicheleCosta ix x Contents Functional Linear Models for the Analysis of Similarity ofWaveforms ..................................................... 125 FrancescaDiSalvo,RenataRotondi,andGiovanniLanzano Capturing Measurement Error Bias in Volatility Forecasting byRealizedGARCHModels ....................................... 141 RichardGerlach,AntonioNaimoli,andGiuseppeStorti ZeroInflatedBivariatePoissonRegressionModelsforaSport (in)activityDataAnalysis ........................................... 161 MariaIannario,IoannisNtzoufras,andClaudiaTarantola Network-BasedDimensionalityReductionforTextualDatasets ........ 175 MichelangeloMisuraca,GermanaScepi,andMariaSpano AssessingthePerformanceoftheItalianTranslationsofModified MEIM,EISandFESMScalestoMeasureEthnicIdentity:ACase Study ............................................................. 191 AntoninoMarioOliveriandGabriellaPolizzi Towards Global Monitoring: Equating the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES) and Food Insecurity Scales in Latin America .......................................................... 205 FedericaOnori,SaraViviani,andPierpaoloBrutti PositionWeightedDecisionTreesforRankingData ................... 227 AntonellaPlaia,SimonaBuscemi,andMariangelaSciandra EuropeanFundsandRegionalConvergence:FromtheEuropean ContexttotheItalianScenario ...................................... 241 GennaroPunzo,MariateresaCiommi,andGaetanoMusella ABoDCompositeIndicatortoMeasuretheItalian“Sole24Ore” QualityofLife .................................................... 259 MariantoniettaRuggieri,GiannaAgrò,andErasmoVassallo TrendsandRandomWalksinMortalitySeries ....................... 269 GiambattistaSalinariandGustavoDeSantis FuzzyandModelBasedClusteringMethods:CanWeFruitfully CompareThem? .................................................. 283 AlessioSerafini, LucaScrucca, MarcoAlfò, PaoloGiordani, andMariaBrigidaFerraro AnAnalysisofMisclassificationRatesinRaterAgreementStudies ..... 305 AmaliaVanacoreandMariaSolePellegrino AuthorIndex ...................................................... 317