JOURNAL OF Policy Analysis and Management Contents Volume 25, 2006 Number 1, Winter 2006 Notes from the Editor Maureen A. Pirog Introduction to Research Articles Vaureen A. Pirog Five-Year Effects of an Anti-Poverty Program on Marriage among Never-Married Mothers Anna Gassman-Pines and Hirokazu Yoshikawa Nonprofit Housing and Neighborhood Spillovers Ingrid Gould Ellen and loan Voicu Does Agency Competition Improve the Quality of Policy Analysis? Evidence from OMB and CBO Fiscal Projections GeorgeA . Krause and James W. Douglas Alternative Routes to Teaching: The Impacts of Teach for America on Student Achievement and Other Outcomes Steven Glazerman, Daniel Mayer, and Paul Decker Competition in the Sandbox: A Test of the Effects of Preschool Competition on Educational Outcomes Gary T. Henry and Craig S. Gordon The Impact of Kindergarten Entrance Age Policies on the Childcare Needs of Families Ashlesha Datar Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Vol. 25, No. 4, 1003-1009 (2006) © 2006 by the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. 1004 / Volume Contents The Effectiveness of Regulatory Disclosure Policies David Weil, Archon Fung, Mary Graham, and Elena Fagotto Did Ontario's Zero Tolerance & Graduated Licensing Law Reduce Youth Drunk Driving? Christopher Carpenter 183 A Cure for Crime: Can Mental Health Treatment Diversion Reduce Crime among Youth? Alison Evans Cuellar, Larkin S. McReynolds, and Gail A. Wasserman 197 CURRICULUM AND CASE NOTES — David Reingold. Editor Contexts, Multiple Methods, and Values in the Study of Common-Pool Resources Matthew Auer BOOK REVIEWS = Eugene B. McGregor. Jr, Editor Governance as Leadership: Reframing the Work of Nonprofit Boards by Richard P. Chait, William P. Ryan, and Barbara E. Taylor Michael Bisesi Governing by Network: The New Shape of the Public Sector by Stephen Goldsmith and William D. Eggers Steven Coben The Price of Government: Getting the Results We Need in an Age of Permanent Fiscal Crisis by David Osborne and Peter Hutchinson William Eimicke Standards Deviation: How Schools Misunderstand Education Policy by james Spillane Richard F. Elmore Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update by Donella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Dennis Meadows JL Mills & PC. Emmi 24th Year Data Number 2, Spring 2006 Presidential Address: Evidence-Based Decision Making: What Will It Take for the Decision Makers to Care? Rebecca A. Maynard Volume Contents / 1005 Notes from the Editor Maureen A. Pirog Introduction to Research Articles Maureen A. Pirog Did Welfare Reform Influence the Fertility of Young Teens? Leonard M. Lopoo and Thomas DeLeire Is Full Better than Half? Examining the Longitudinal Effects of Full-day Kindergarten Attendance Jill 8. Cannon, Alison Jacknowitz, and Gary Painter Contracting for Management: Assessing Management Capacity Under Alternative Service Delivery Arrangements Trevor Brown and Matt Potoski Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties: The Value of Public Interventions Kris Wernstedt, Peter B. Meyer, and Anna Alberini Public Management Reform and Organizational Performance: An Empirical Assessment of the U.K. Labour Government's Public Service Improvement Strategy Richard M. Walker and George A. Boyne The Efficacy and Effect of Racial Profiling: A Mathematical Simulation Approach Jack Glaser The Role of Earnings and Financial Risk in Distributional Analyses of Social Security Reform Measures Thomas L. Hungerford Does a More Centralized Urban Form Raise Housing Prices? Robert W. Wassmer and Michelle C. Baass POLICY RETROSPECTIVES = Douglas| .B esharov, Editor Affirmative Action: What Do We Know? HarryJ .H olzer and David Neumark 1006 / Volume Contents BOOK REVIEWS = Lv gene B. McGregorJ.r , Editor Sustaining Nonprofit Performance by Paul C. Light Peter Frumkin The World Is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Friedman Three Billion New Capitalists: The Great Shift of Wealth and Power to the East by Clyde Prestowitz Jeffrey A. Hart The Four Pillars of High Performance: How Robust Organizations Achieve Extraordinary Results by Paul C. Light High-Performance Government: Structure, Leadership, Incentives by Robert Klitgaard and Paul C. Light, Eds. Carolyn J]. Heinrich Government Performance: Why Management Matters by Patricia W. Ingraham, Philip G. Joyce, and Amy Kneedler Donahue Government Matters: Welfare Reform in Wisconsin by Lawrence M. Mead How Management Matters: Street-Level Bureaucrats and Welfare Reform by Norma M. Riccucci Donald F. Kettl 2005 Vernon Prize Announcements from APPAM Number 3, Summer 2006 Notes from the Editor Vaureen A. Pirog Introduction to Research Articles Vaureen A. Pirog Do Experimental and Nonexperimental Evaluations Give Different Answers about the Effectiveness of Government-Furded Training Programs? David H. Greenberg, Charles Michalopoulos, and Philip K. Robins Why Triggers Fail (and What to Do about It): An Examination of the Unemployment Insurance Extended Benefits Program Jeffrey B. Wenger and Matthew J]. Walters Volume Contents / 1007 School Choice in Chile: Is It Class or the Classroom? Gregory Elacqua, Mark Schneider, and Jack Buckley Has the Food Stamp Program Become More Accessible? Impacts of Recent Changes in Reporting Requirements and Asset Eligibility Limits MariaJ .H anratty Changes in the Welfare Caseload and the Health of Low-Educated Mothers Robert Kaestner and Elizabeth Tarlov Reducing Traffic Fatalities in the American States by Upgrading Seat Belt Use Laws to Primary Enforcement David J.H ouston and Lilliard E. Richardson, Jr. Do Speed Cameras Produce Net Benefits? Evidence from British Columbia, Canada Greg Chen and Rebecca N. Warburton POINT/COUNTERPOINT — Richard P. Nathan, Editor Would Private Accounts Improve Social Security? Richard P. Nathan Private Accounts Would Improve Social Security Jeffrey R. Brown 680 Private Accounts Would Not Improve Social Security Kenneth S. Apfel Response to Kenneth S. Apfel Jeffrey R. Brown Response to Jeffrey R. Brown Kenneth §. Apfel POLICY RETROSPECTIVES = Douglas |.B esharov, Editor Aiming for Evidence-Based Gun Policy PhilipJ .C ook and Jens Ludwig 1008 / Volume Contents BOOK REVIEWS = Eugene B. McGregor, Jr., Editor Unleashing Change: A Study of Organizational Renewal in Government by Steven Kelman CarolynJ . Hill 737 The Flight of the Creative Class: The New Global Competition for Talent by Richard Florida The New Division ofL abor: How Computers Are Creating the Next Job Market by Frank Levy and Richard J. Murnane The State of Working America: 2004/2005 by Lawrence Mishel, Jared Bernstein, and Sylvia Allegretto Eugene B. McGregor, Jr. JPAM Doctoral Dissertation Listing 2005 The APPAM Ph.D. Dissertation Award Number 4, Fall 2006 Introduction to Research Articles Maureen A. Pirog Does Sex Education Affect Adolescent Sexual Behaviors and Health? Joseph] . Sabia Does Early Adolescent Sex Cause Depressive Symptoms? Joseph }. Sabia Job Sprawl, Spatial Mismatch, and Black Employment Disadvantage Michael A. Stoll Curbside Recycling: Waste Resource or Waste of Resources? David Aadland and ArthurJ .C aplan Downsizing, Competition, and Organizational Change in Government: Is Necessity the Mother of Invention? Steven Kelman A Re-examination of Welfare States and Inequality in Rich Nations: How In-kind Transfers and Indirect Taxes Change the Story Irwin Garfinkel, Lee Rainwater, and Timothy M. Smeeding Volume Contents / 1009 State-Level Predictors of Food Insecurity among Households with Children Judi Bartfeld and Rachel Dunifon POLICY RETROSPECTIVES = Douglas| .B esharov, Editor Child Support Enforcement: Programs and Policies, Impacts and Questions Maureen Pirog and Kathleen M. Ziol-Guest BOOK REVIEWS = £ugene B. McGregor, Jr., Editor Can We Say No: The Challenge ofR ationing Health Care by HenryJ .A aron and William B. Schwartz, with Melissa Cox Jan Blustein Managing Welfare Reform in New York City by E. S. Savas Andrew R. Feldman Illicit: How Smugglers, Traffickers, and Copycats Are Hijacking the Global Economy by Moisés Naim Samuel Nunn Digital Government Technology and Public Sector Performance by Darrell M. West Craig L. Johnson 999 Contents for Volume 25 1003 Author Index for Volume 25 1011 25th Year Data and Referees 1017