NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS GORBACHEV, THE GENERALS, AND THE •TURN TO THE RIGHT" by USN LieutenantMichaelJ. Corrigan June, 1991 ThesisAdvisor: MikhailTsypkin Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited T256874 itLUKIIYLLAbilNLAIIUNUr- IHlbKALit REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE 1a.REPORTSECURITYCLASSIFICATION 1b.RESTRICTIVE MARKINGS UNCLASSIFIED 2a.SECURITYCLASSIFICATIONAUTHORITY 3 DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITYOFREPORT Approvedfor publicrelease;distributionisunlimited. 2b.DECLASSIFICATION/DOWNGRADINGSCHEDULE 4.PERFORMINGORGANIZATIONREPORTNUMBER(S) 5.MONITORINGORGANIZATIONREPORTNUMBER(S) 6a.NAMEOFPERFORMINGORGANIZATION 6b.OFFICESYMBOL 7a.NAMEOFMONITORINGORGANIZATION NavalPostgraduateSchool (Ifapplicable) NavalPostgraduateSchool 38 6c ADDRESS(City,State,andZIPCode) 7b.ADDRESS(City,State,andZIPCode) Monterey,CA 93943-5000 Monterey,CA 93943-5000 8a.NAMEOFFUNDING/SPONSORING 8b.OFFICESYMBOL 9 PROCUREMENTINSTRUMENTIDENTIFICATIONNUMBER ORGANIZATION (Ifapplicable) 8c.ADDRESS(City,State,andZIPCode) 10.SOURCEOFFUNDINGNUMBERS ProgramElementNo. ProjectNo. TaskNo. WorkUnitAccession Number 11.TITLE(IncludeSecurityClassification) Gorbachev,TheGenerals,andtheTurntotheRight' 12.PERSONALAUTHOR(S) Corrigan,MichaelJ. 13a.TYPEOFREPORT 13b.TIMECOVERED 14.DATEOFREPORT(year,month,day) 15.PAGECOUNT Master'sThesis From To 1991,June,20 141 16.SUPPLEMENTARYNOTATION TheviewsexpressedinthisthesisarethoseoftheauthoranddonotreflecttheofficialpolicyorpositionoftheDepartmentofDefenseortheU.S. Government. 17.COSATICODES 18.SUBJECTTERMS(continueonreverseifnecessaryandidentifybyblocknumber) FIELD GROUP SUBGROUP Gorbachev,SovietMilitary, 19.ABSTRACT(continueonreverseifnecessaryandidentifybyblocknumber) This Thesisattemptstoguagetheeffects,onSoviet-WesternrelationsandEastEuropeanstability,oftheconservativeturntakenbySoviet PresidentMikhailGorbachevinlate1990,early1991.Thesignsofthismoveinclude:therepressionintheBaltics,ForeignMinister Schevardnadze'sresignation,theremovalofotherreformistleadersfromGorbachev'sretinue,andthegrowthofmilitaryinfluence.While apparentlybeingnegativeforprospectsofcontinuedgoodrelationsandstability,thisconservativeturnwastakenasa result ofinternal politicaldynamicsandnotspecificallyasareactionagainsttheWestoragainstEastEuropeandevelopments.Gorbachev,the'new thinkers', andtheforeignpolicyconservativesareinvolvedinapowerstruggle.Theconservatives,thegenerals,havegainedinfluenceandarenowina positiontoslowdownbutnotderailthe'newthinking'diplomacy.TheTurntotheRight'signalsanendtothedramaticbreakthroughdiplomacy of1989and1990butisnotaharbingerofareturntooldrelations. 20.DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITYOFABSTRACT 21.ABSTRACTSECURITYCLASSIFICATION ] UNCLASSIflED/UNLIMITED 1H SAMEASREPORT 1H DTICUSERS Unclassified 22a.NAMEOFRESPONSIBLE INDIVIDUAL 22b TELEPHONE(IncludeAreacode) 22c.OFFICESYMBOL MikhailTsypkin (408)646-2218 CodeNSTK DD FORM 1473,84MAR 83APReditionmaybeuseduntilexhausted SECURITYCLASSIFICATIONOFTHISPAGE Allothereditionsareobsolete Approved forpublic release; distribution is unlimited. Gorbachev, The Generals and the 'Turn to the Right" by MichaelJ. Corrigan Lieutenant, United States Navy B.A., Middlebury College Submitted in partial fulfillment ofthe requirements forthe degree of MASTER OFARTS IN NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS from the