de2s 3 1 99/ NS iui! 4-/° DATA BRIEF Science Resources Studies Division Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences National Science Foundation Vol. 1996, No. 3, June 13, 1996 Federal Funding for R&D and R&D Plant to Drop in FY 1996; Department of Defense Survey Data Expanded by Ronald L. Meeks — Federal funding for research vanced technology development and major and development (R&D) and R&D plant, systems development. as reported by Federal agencies during the es = period March through October 1995, is ex- DOD is expected to provide $26 billion (87 pected to decrease 3 percent to $71 billion in percent of its total develcpment obligations) The Department of toward major systems development, which fiscal year (FY) 1996. Contributing to this Defense’s funding for represents a projected 2-percent drop in FY decline is a 30-percent drop in R&D plant advanced technology 1996 (Table 1). Combined, Air Force, Navy, obligations (to $2 billion) and a 4-percent de- and major systems Armys Military Functions component, and the crease in development funding (to $41 billion). development are Research spending (including basic and ap- expected to decrease Table 1. Federal Obligations for Developmem by plied research) is expected to increase 2 per- Agencies in DOD: Fiscal Years 1994-1996 by 17 percent and 2 cent (to $28 billion). After adjusting for in- " : cma Percentage percent, respectively, flation, Federal obligations for R&D and Agencies FY 1994] FY 1995] FY 1996] Change in FY 1996. R&D plant are expected to decline 5 percent. Actual |E stimate |E stimate | FYs 95-96 The estimated obligations reported in this (Millions of current dollars) Data Brief are subject to change as Federal Total DOD agencies budgets are updated to reflect ap- Basic Research...) 1,222) 1,282) 1,196 6.7 proved programs. The statistics presented Applied Research.| 3,040) 3,169) 2,949 6.9 here are derived from the National Science as V..) Ses Seg oe “8 F dation’s (NSF’s) Annual Survey of Advanced Tech..| 4,461 4,496 | 3,725 “17.1 — Say Major Systems..| 25,812} 26,451| 25,811 24 Federal Funds for R&D. Army Development... 4,721 4,693 3.864 -17.7 DOD’s Development Funding Advanced Tech..} 1,187} 1,087| 578 46.8 As indicated by the recent National Academy , Major Systems...) 3,514) 3,584) 3.262 9.0 avy Press report, Allocating Fie deral Funds for seagate... ace! aces] 790 as Blecwnnic Science and Ie chnology (Washington, DC , peared Tet 412 592 502 15.2 Dissemination 1995), there is considerable interest in differ- Major Systems..| 7,670| 7,731| 7.087 90 entiating between that part of the Federal Air Foroe SRS data are available a R&D budget which supports “science and Development penesed 11,713 11,871 12.369 4.2 0 Re ven eee Cpt key enabling technologies” (including for peemenpaihans = <—s — a6 www.nsf.gov/sbe/srs/stats.htm) - nes Major Systems..} 11,265) 11,415] 11,874 4.0 and also through STIS, NSF's military and nondefense applications) and ane Gatem online Science and Technology _— that which primarily concerns “testing and Agencies ~~~ my | eA ; evaluation of large technical systems prior to Development....... 5.544) 5,839) 5514 56 noo m an.p ndP ublis a ; production” (of mostly defense-related sys- Advanced Tech..| 2.414) 2,360) 2,150 8.9 For a paper copy of the flyer. tems). To better understand the component Major Systems...]__3.120) 3,475) 3.362 3.3 call 703-306-1130. Foranelec- pieces of Federal R&D fundin. g and to allow ' 1/ DaOdDa tdeepvealnopdm enata ydo ees nnomt eeqeuanl dthte msnuma eof nthee ad0va8nc ed tronic copy of the STIS User's ‘vity sheneas ian ane an e-mail with the yn _ S oa te mite! agenaes could not break down development into these phrase "get NSF 9410.TXT*to ‘Sixteen agencies within the Department o two categories. [email protected]. For NSF's Defense (DOD) that report to the Federal Telephonic Device for the Deaf, © Funds Survey, NSF nowcollects from DOD — SOURCE: NSF/SRS, Survey of Federal Funds for Research and dial 703-306-0090. development dollars in two categories. ad- Development: Fiscal Years 1994, 1995, and 1996 GI-Oillk e Vol. 1996, No. 3, May 30, 1996 SRS DATA BRIEF Federal Funding for R&D and R&D Plant to Drop in FY 1996; ...—page 2 Ballistic Missile Defense Organization (BMDO) is. ARPA is expected to account for 46 percent of expected to account for $24 billion (95 percent) DOD's estimated FY 1996 total advanced of the major systems development obligations. technology development funds. compared with Three of these four top funders are expecting its substantiaily smaller 8-percent share of the decreases in major systems development be- DOD R&D and R&D plant total. The largest tween FY 1995 and FY 1996 - Army and Navy expected increase of advanced technology are each expected to decline by 9 percent and funding is expected to occur at Air Force, in- BMDO is slated to drop by 2 percent. Air creasing 9 percent ($39 million). Nearly half Force will increase its funding about $460 ui the projected decrease of advanced technol- million (4 percent). ogy dollars is expected to occur at Army, dropping from $1 billion to $0.6 billion (down DOD’s advanced technology development is ex- 47 percent). The second largest decrease is pected to decrease $0.8 billion (17 percent to projected for WHS, which expects a decline of $3.7 billion) in FY 1996. (Adding in basic and $180 million (down 39 percent) from its FY applied research support, DOD's total science 1995 funding level. and technology R&D budget would decrease | 2 percent, from $8.9 billion to $7.9 billion in FY Agency Total Funding Shares 1996.) Advanced technology is expected to Seven Federal agencies, out of the 32 that re- comprise all of the estimated FY 1996 develop- port to the R&D survey, are expected to ac- ment funding at the Defeise Logistics Agency count for 92 percent ($66 billion) of total Fed- (DLA) ($30 million) and the Defense Nuclear eral funding for R&D and R&D plant in FY Agency (DNA) ($34 million) and nearly all 1996 (Table 2). The Department of Defense ($1.7 billion or 98 percent) at the Advanced Re- (DOD) will still comprise the largest share (48 search Projects Agency (ARPA whose name percent), even though its funding is expected was recently changed back to DARPA). How- to decrease 5 percent from FY 1995 to FY ever, each of these agencies is exp<cted to report 1996. Contributing to DOD’s drop in overall a modest increase in funding for advanced tech- R&D funding are the Army (19 percent de- nology development between FY 1995 and FY crease), Navy (9 percent decrease), and com- 1996—DNA up by $4 million, DLA up by $3 bined Defense agencies (5 percent decrease). million, and ARPA up by $2 million. Six of the Funding from the Department of Health and 13 Defense agencies project no plans for ad- Human Services (HHS) will comprise the vanced technology funding, while the others second largest share (17 percent), increasing (excluding ARPA) expect obligations ranging by | percent in FY 1996. Most of the HHS from $30 million at DLA to $280 million at amount is from its National Institutes of Washington Headquarters Services (WHS). Health for support of the life sciences. The (For this survey cycle, the Army Corps of Engi- other top funding agencies are projected to be neers was unable to breakout the Corps’ $23 the National Aeronautics and Space Adminis- million in development funding.) tration (NASA) (12 percent of the FY 1996 Table 2.-Federal Obligations for R&D and R&D Plant: Fiscal Years 1990-1996 (Milofl cuirreont ndolslar s ) Current Constant Agencies | FY 1990 | FY 1991 | FY 1992 |F Y 1993 |F Y 1994] FY 1995 | FY 1996 | % Change | % Change Actual | Actual | Actual | Actua | Actual | Estimate | Estimate |F Ys 90-96 | FYs 90-96 65,831| 64.148) 68.577) 70.415| 69.427/ 73.020] 70.6 1.2 1.3 DOD ..eeeeoe 37,756] 32.561) 36,526] 36,221| 34,788] 35.573] 33,867 48 42 == 8.513) 9,842) 9,085} 10,499) 11,142) 11,826] ~—«*11,989 5.9 3.2 NASA........... 7,060 8,004, 8475) 8769] 8812) 9.441) 8.499 3.1 0.6 = 6.547, 7,208) 7.493) «—7,724) «6.960, 97.286] «= 7,770 2.9 03 = 1,729; 1,945] 1,970) 2012] 2212) «= 2450] 250 6.6 4.0 USDA........... 1.211; 1,381 1,492) 1,470) 1,525 1,585 1.476 3.4) 0.8 ne 454 505, 672) 682 857 1,552 1,385 20.6) 17.6 Other... 2.562) 2,707) 28 64| 3.008] 3131} 3,306] «3.380 47 21 SOURCE: NSF'SRS. Survey of Federal Funds for Research and Development: Fiscal Years 1994, 19%, and 1996 Vol. 1996, No. 3, May 30, 1996 SRS DATA BRIEF Federal Funding for R&D and R&D Plant to Drop in FY 1996;...—page 3 Federal R&D and R&D pliant total), the De- percent) in FY 1996, and that for applied partment of Energy (DOE) (1i percent), NSF research will not change. Between FY (4 percent), the Department of Agriculture 1990 and FY 1996, research funding is (USDA) (2 percent), and the Department of expected to have an average annual growth Commerce (DOC) (nearly 2 percent). R&D of 5 percent, which in constant dollars and R&D plant funding is projected to decline would be a 2-percent rate of increase. at NASA, DOC, and USDA in FY 1996, Applied research is expected to increase at whereas that from DOE and NSF is slated to an estimated 6-percent growth rate (3 percent increase. in constant dollars) between FY 1990 and FY 1996, while basic research is expected R&D Growth in the 1990s to grow about 4 percent per year (1 percent Of the seven major R&D funding agencies, in constant dollars). Funds for development DOC projects show the largest R&D and and R&D plant are slated to decrease by R&D plant funding annual growth rate— 4 percent and 30 percent, respectively, from 21 percent (18 percent in constant 1987 dol- FY 1995 to FY 1996. Although develop- lars}—from FY 1990 to FY 1996. DOC’s ment will represent 57 percent of the total Research accounts growth reflects the rapid increases in funding R&D and R&D plant, its funding is ex- at its National Institute of Standards and pected to drop at a rate of | percent for an estimated 40 Technology. DOC is followed by NSF with a (3 percent in constant dollars) between percent of the FY 7-percent growth rate (4 percent in constant 1990 and 1996. 1996 Federal R&D dollars during the same period). R&D and and R&D plant total, R&D plant funding from HHS is expected to Funding by Fields of Science and up considerably from average 6-percent growth per year (3 percent its 33-percent share Engineering in constant dollars) between FY 1990 and FY in FY 1990. 1996. DOD's obiigations will drop | percent Seven of the eight fields of science and en- gineering identified in the survey are ex- annually. In constant dollars, its funding will pected to show an increase in combined ba- decrease at an estimated annualized rate of 4 perceat over this six-year period. sic and applied research funding between FY 1990 and FY 1996 (Chart 2). Only the environmental sciences are expected to Funding by Character of Work drop—by one percent (3 percent in constant In FY 1996, basic research and applied dollars)}—between FY 1990 and FY 1996. research are each expected to comprise about Average annual growth in research support 20 percent ($14 billion) of the total estimated is projected to range from 0.3 percent Federal funding for R&D and R&D plant (down 2 percent in constant dollars) for (Chart 1). Funding for basic research is engineering, to 11 percent (8 percent in con- projected to increase ahout $0.5 billion (3.5 Chart 1. Distribution of Projected Federal Obligations by Character of Work: FY 1996 SOURCE: NSF/SRS, Survey of Federal Funds for Research and Development: Fiscal Years 1994, 1995. and 1996 3 SRS DATA BRIEF Vol. 1996, No. 3, May 30, 1996 Federal Funding for R&D and R&D Plant to Drop in FY 1996;...—page 4 stant dollars) for mathematics and uncertainty and flux in the Nation’s Tables Report, Federal Funds for computer sciences. In FY 1996, life R&D enterprise. For example, during Research and Development: Fiscal sciences is expected to continue to the period March through October Years 1994, 1995, and 1996, Volume 44. have the greatest share of the funding 1993, Federal agencies projected total and is projected to comprise an esti- R&D and R&D pliant obligations of This Data Brief was prepared by mated 41 percent of total Federal re- $74 billion. As detailed in Table 2 of Ronald L. Meeks, National Science search dollars. The physical sciences this Data Brief, agencies now report Foundation, Division of Science Re- will again have the second largest actual FY 1994 obligations of $69 bil- sources Studies, 4201 Wilson Boulevard, share, accounting for 22 percent of the lion, a 7 percent downward revision Suite 965, Arlington, VA 22230. For total research. Life and physical sci- from earlier expectations. a free copy of the full report, contact ences plus engineering (the third largest the SRS Publications Unit at the above category) are expected to account for The data presented in this Data Brief address, telephone (703) 306-1773, or nearly 80 percent of total Federal re- are being released in advance of the send e-mail to [email protected]. search funding in FY 1996. comprehensive Detailed Statistical Survey Notes Chart 2. Federal Obligations for Basic and Applied Research, by Fields of SYorlslalorsie-lale mcmt alellals\slalaleban oh Acmen ckcO Mel ale mnie s The 32 Federal agencies that report R&D obligations to the Federal Funds (Billoifo cunrrsen t dollars) Survey submitted actual obligations for 12 FY 1994 and estimates for FYs 1995 10-4 and 1996. Data were reported during | [_] FY 1990 the period March through October 1995. 8 - | Agencies can later revise the estimates «BB Fy 1996 on the basis of expected changes in the funding levels of R&D programs. 6- Therefore, all FYs 1995 and 1996 ob- 4- ligations are subject to revision in the next survey cycle. Data collected from a survey cycle are put into tables 2- that incorporate changes in prior-year > ae data made by the agencies to reflect Life Psychology Physical Environ- Mathematics Engineering Sociai Other program reclassifications. In recent Sciences Sciences mental Sciences Sciences years, agency-reported revisions have SOURCE: NSF/SRS. Survey of Federal Funds for Research and Development: been extensive, reflecting the current Fiscal Years 1994, 1995, and 1996 NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION BULK RATE ARLINGTON, VA 22230 POSTAGE & FEES PAID National Science Foundation Permit No. G-69 OFFICIAL BUSINESS PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE $300 RETTHIUS CORVERN SH EET TO ROOM P35 IF YOU DO NOT WISH TO RECEIVE THIS maTERIAL DO | OR IF CHANGE OF ADDRESS IS NEEDED 0 INDICATE 00197480 MISS5S05 CHANGE INCLUDZIIP NCGOD E ON THE LABEL (00 NOT REMOVE LABEL). COPY 1 US GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DEPOSITORY SECTION ROOM A-150 JACKSON ALLEY ok WASHINGTON DC 20401