DECEMBER 2 010 APPRENTICES & TRAINEES QUARTER Early trend estimates Introduction This publication presents early estimates of apprentice and trainee commencements for the December quarter 2010. Indicative information about this quarter is presented here; the most recent figures are estimated, taking into account reporting lags that occur at the time of data collection. The early trend estimates are derived from the National Apprentice and Trainee Collection no.66, December 2010. Data are only available for commencements at the national level and have been seasonally adjusted and smoothed. Further information at the disaggregated level for the December quarter 2010 will be released in early June 2011. Highlights Early indications for the December quarter 2010 show that:  Trade commencements appear to have recovered from the slump experienced prior to the June 2009 quarter. The trend from June 2009 to June 2010 was one of steady growth, but the trend since then indicates that quarterly commencements are relatively stable.  Non-trade commencements continue to show an upward trend, with December 2010 being the sixth consecutive quarter of steady growth since June 2009. Figure 1 Trade and non-trade commencements, seasonally adjusted and smoothed, September 2000 – December 2010 70.0 60.0 50.0 00) 40.0 0 er (' mb 30.0 u N 20.0 10.0 0.0 Sept 2000 Sept 2001 Sept 2002 Sept 2003 Sept 2004 Sept 2005 Sept 2006 Sept 2007 Sept 2008 Sept 2009 Sept 2010 Dec 2010 Trade Dec 2010 Non-trade Trade Non-trade Data for this publication are compiled under the Australian Vocational Education and Training Management Information Statistical Standard (AVETMISS) for the Apprentice and Trainee Collection Specifications, Release 6.0, March 2008. Information on AVETMISS is available from <http://www.ncver.edu.au/avetmiss/21061.html>. For terms used in this publication, refer to <http://www.ncver.edu.au/publications/2347.html>. For further details on the estimates methodology, refer to <http://www.ncver.edu.au/publications/2267.html>. Australian vocational education & training statistics Table 1 Trade and non-trade commencements, seasonally adjusted and smoothed, September 2000 – December 2010 (’000) Trade Non-trade Total September 2000 12.3 39.8 52.0 December 2000 12.1 41.4 53.4 March 2001 12.2 42.4 54.6 June 2001 12.4 42.8 55.3 September 2001 12.5 43.7 56.2 December 2001 12.9 45.7 58.6 March 2002 14.1 48.5 62.5 June 2002 15.5 50.9 66.4 September 2002 16.3 52.3 68.5 December 2002 16.4 54.6 70.8 March 2003 16.2 56.3 72.4 June 2003 16.2 55.6 71.9 September 2003 16.6 51.7 68.5 December 2003 16.9 47.4 64.5 March 2004 17.1 45.4 62.6 June 2004 17.5 46.1 63.6 September 2004 17.9 46.6 64.4 December 2004 18.1 47.3 65.4 March 2005 18.2 47.5 65.9 June 2005 18.3 47.2 65.7 September 2005 18.7 47.6 66.3 December 2005 18.9 48.2 67.0 March 2006 18.7 47.7 66.3 June 2006 18.6 47.0 65.6 September 2006 19.2 46.9 66.1 December 2006 19.9 47.5 67.5 March 2007 20.6 48.4 68.9 June 2007 21.0 48.1 68.9 September 2007 21.3 47.5 68.6 December 2007 22.1 48.3 70.4 March 2008 22.8 50.2 73.0 June 2008 22.5 51.4 73.9 September 2008 21.1 50.8 71.9 December 2008 19.3 48.9 68.1 March 2009 18.4 47.4 65.7 June 2009 18.9 47.5 66.3 September 2009 20.1 48.5 68.7 December 2009 21.6 50.1 71.9 March 2010 23.0 52.1 75.1 June 2010 23.9 53.8 77.6 September 2010 24.1 54.9 78.9 December 2010(a) 24.0 57.2 81.1 Notes: (a) The December quarter 2010 estimate is based on an early estimate which is seasonally adjusted (based on data from September 2000 to December 2010) and 7-point Henderson smoothed. Only the December quarter 2010 estimate from this series is presented. The quarterly data presented to September 2010 have been seasonally adjusted (based on data from September 2000 to September 2010) and 7-point Henderson smoothed. These are consistent with the forthcoming September quarterly 2010 publication. © Commonwealth of Australia, 2011 This work has been produced by the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER) on behalf of the Australian Government and state and territory governments, with funding provided through the Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations. Apart from any use permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part of this publication may be reproduced by any process without written permission. Requests should be made to NCVER. The views and opinions expressed in this document are those of NCVER and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Australian Government or state and territory governments. ISSN 1838-0530 Published by NCVER TD/TNC 103.06 ABN 87 007 967 311 Level 11, 33 King William Street, Cataloguing title: Adelaide SA 5000 Australian vocational education and training statistics: apprentices and PO Box 8288, Station Arcade, trainees—early trend estimates, December quarter 2010 Adelaide SA 5000, Australia Phone: (08) 8230 8400 Comments and suggestions regarding this publication are welcomed and Fax: (08) 8212 3436 should be forwarded to NCVER. Web: <http://www.ncver.edu.au> Email: <[email protected]>