THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS: A LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN PERSPECTIVE Quotation appearing on back cover: Kofi Annan, Secretary-General of the United Nations, “In larger freedom: towards development, security and human rights for all. Report of the Secretary-General” (A/59/2005), March 2005. Notes and explanations of symbols The following symbols have been used in this study: Three dots (…) indicate that data are not available or are not separately reported. A minus sign (-) indicates a deficit or decrease, unless otherwise indicated. A full stop (.) is used to indicate decimals. Use of a hyphen between years, e.g. 2000-2002, signifies an annual average for the calendar years involved, including the beginning and ending years. The word "dollars" refers to United States dollars, unless otherwise specified. Figures and percentages in tables may not necessarily add up to the corresponding totals due to rounding. United Nations Publications LC/G.2331-P ISBN: 92-1-121558-7 Sales number: E.05.II.G.107 Copyright © United Nations, August 2005. All rights reserved Printed in Santiago, Chile - United Nations Applications for the right to reproduce this work are welcomed and should be sent to the Secretary of the Publications Board, United Nations Headquarters, New York, N.Y. 10017, U.S.A. Member States and their governmental institutions may reproduce this work without prior authorization, but are requested to mention the source and inform the United Nations of such reproduction. Acknowledgements The preparation of this document was coordinated by José Luis Machinea, Executive Secretary of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC); Alicia Bárcena, Deputy Executive Secretary; and Arturo León, Regional Expert with the Social Development Division. Valuable contributions were made by Hugo Guzmán, Ernesto Espíndola and Reynaldo Bajraj, and inputs of major importance were provided by the technical teams of the following specialized agencies, funds and programmes of the United Nations system: International Labour Organization, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, World Health Organization/Pan American Health Organization, United Nations Development Programme, United Nations Environment Programme, United Nations Children's Fund, United Nations Population Fund, World Food Programme, United Nations Human Settlements Programme and United Nations Development Fund for Women. The authors are particularly grateful for the collaboration of the following persons: Daniel Martinez, ILO Regional Director; Andrés Marinakis, Mónica Castillo and María Elena Valenzuela of ILO; Gustavo Gordillo, Assistant Director-General and Regional Representative of FAO for Latin America and the Caribbean; Marcio Porto, Marcela Ballara, Luis Gómez Oliver, Francisco Jiménez, Paul Lewin, María José Montero, Patricia Morales, Andrés Pascoe, Marcos Rodríguez and Fernando Soto of FAO; Ana Luiza Machado, Director, UNESCO Regional Office for Education in Latin America and the Caribbean; César Guadalupe of UNESCO; Mirta Roses, Director of PAHO; Daniel López Acuña, of PAHO; Elena Martínez, UNDP Regional Director for Latin America and the Caribbean; Enrique Ganuza of UNDP; Ricardo Sánchez, Regional Director, UNEP Regional Office for Latin America and the Caribbean; Edgar Arredondo Casillas and Kakuko Nagatani Yoshida of UNEP; Nils Kastberg, Director, UNICEF Regional Office for Latin America and the Caribbean; Pablo Froes, Liv Elin Indreiten, Alma Jenkins, Vivian López, Alfredo Missair, Christine Norton, Claudio Osorio, Susana Sottoli, Osvaldo Legon and Garren Lumpkin of UNICEF; Marisela Padrón, Director, Latin America and Caribbean Division of UNFPA; Rogelio Fernández Castilla, Margaret Arilla, Raquel Child, Javier Domínguez, Ralph Hakkert and Luis Mora of UNFPA; Pedro Medrano, Regional Director for Latin America and the Caribbean of WFP; Deborah Heins and Jaime Vallaure of WFP; Jorge Gavidia, Director, UN-Habitat/Regional Office for Latin America and the Caribbean (ROLAC); Alberto Parahnos of UN-Habitat/ROLAC; and Marijke Velzeboer-Salcedo, Chief, Latin America and the Caribbean Section of UNIFEM. The following persons were in charge of drafting the report: Reynaldo Bajraj, Alicia Bárcena, Carlos de Miguel, Ernesto Espíndola, Hubert Escaith, João Ferraz, Juan Carlos Feres, Hugo Guzmán, Dirk Jaspers, Osvaldo Kacef, Arturo León, José Luis Machinea, Sonia Montaño, Joseluis Samaniego and Fernando Sánchez-Albavera of ECLAC. Portions of the text were contributed by the following ECLAC staff members: Jean Acquatella, Diane Almeras, Hugo Altomonte, Antonio Ávila, Jorge Bravo, Beverley Carlson, Ricardo Bielschowsky, Simone Cecchini, Manlio Coviello, Martine Dirven, Andrés Fernández, Gilberto Gallopin, José Javier Gómez, José Miguel Guzmán, Miguel Izam, Andrei Jouravlev, Xavier Mancero, Fernando Medina, Vivian Milosavljevic, Carlos Mussi, Nieves Rico, Jorge Rodríguez, Gunilla Ryd, Daniela Simioni, Miguel Solanes, Raquel Szalachman and Rodolfo Vilches. Valuable inputs and comments were provided by Renato Baumann, Rudolf Buitelaar, João Ferraz, Arthur Gray, Rebeca Grynspan, Bernardo Kosacoff, Jorge Mattar, Neil Pierre and Juan Carlos Ramírez. César Guadalupe of UNESCO and technical experts of the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) were in charge of preparing the initial versions of chapters II and V, respectively. The following PAHO staff members were involved in drafting chapter V: María Cecilia Acuña, Yehuda Benguigui, Pedro Brito, Virginia Camacho, Carlos Castillo- Salgado, Pedro Crocco, Amalia del Riego, Christopher Drasbek, María de Lourdes Ferrer, Ricardo Fescina, Rafael Flores, Wilma Freire, Luiz Augusto Galvao, Elsa Gómez, Amparo Gordillo, Philippe Lamy, Eduardo Levcovitz, Daniel López Acuña, Enrique Loyola, Evelyn Martínez, Sofía Leticia Morales, Alfonso Ruiz, Patricia Schroeder, Gina Tambini, César Vieira, Carol Vlassoff and Fernando Zacarías. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS: A LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN PERSPECTIVE Contents Foreword...........................................................................................xiii How this document was prepared.................................................xvii Introduction......................................................................................xix Chapter I The Millennium Declaration..............................................................1 A. The development agenda from a Latin American and Caribbean perspective.........................................................1 B. A decade of achievements and obstacles in Latin America and the Caribbean.......................................................5 C. The need for a comprehensive development strategy................10 1. Macroeconomic and productive development policies.........................................................................11 2. The synergies between growth and equity....................16 3. The architecture of equity-seeking social institutions: characteristics and attributes.....................17 4. The regional and global agendas..................................21 Chapter II Combating poverty and hunger.......................................................23 A. Eradicating extreme poverty....................................................24 1. Introduction..................................................................24 2. Inequalities...................................................................38 3. The chances of achieving target 1 in the region...........50 4. Public policy guidelines for poverty reduction..............53 v CONTENTS B. Eradicating hunger.................................................................................................................................56 1. Introduction................................................................................................................................56 2. Food security and hunger...........................................................................................................60 3. Undernourishment levels and trends: progress towards the target..............................................62 4. Undernutrition levels and trends: progress towards the target....................................................68 5. Inequalities in the incidence of hunger.......................................................................................71 6. Policy guidelines........................................................................................................................74 Chapter III Education as a pillar of human development...............................................................................................79 A. Introduction...........................................................................................................................................79 B. The situation in the region.....................................................................................................................81 1. Access to primary education.......................................................................................................81 2. Progress at the primary level......................................................................................................83 3. Completion of primary education: existing situation and projections for 2015..........................85 C. Inequalities.............................................................................................................................................89 D. Accumulated lags...................................................................................................................................92 E. Learning achievements, in addition to completion................................................................................94 F. Other challenges....................................................................................................................................97 1. Expanding preschool education and comprehensive care in early childhood.............................97 2. Increasing secondary-education access and completion.............................................................99 G. Key aspects of education policy..........................................................................................................101 Chapter IV Gender equality and women’s empowerment............................................................................................105 A. Introduction.........................................................................................................................................105 B. The situation in the region: overlapping inequalities...........................................................................108 1. Women’s education and opportunities.....................................................................................108 2. The persistence of illiteracy......................................................................................................115 3. Women and work.....................................................................................................................117 4. Women’s political participation...............................................................................................128 5. Violence against women: a human-rights and development issue............................................129 Chapter V The right to health and the Millennium Development Goals....................................................................135 A. Introduction.........................................................................................................................................136 B. How close is the Latin American and Caribbean region to achieving the health-related Millennium Development Goals?........................................................................................................137 1. Goal 4: Reduce mortality in children under the age of 5..........................................................137 2. Goal 5: Improve maternal health..............................................................................................145 3. Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases..........................................................149 C. The response of health systems to the challenges of meeting the health-related Millennium Development Goals..........................................................................................................155 D. Guiding principles for health policy....................................................................................................164 1. Promoting intersectorality and interinstitutionality..................................................................164 2. Improving equity and extending social protection in health.....................................................165 3. Increasing the amount and progressiveness of current and investment spending on health...................................................................................................................................166 4. Improving health systems’ response capacity............................................................................166 Chapter VI Ensuring environmental sustainability.......................................................................................................171 A. Environmental sustainability in the framework of the Millenium Development Goals.......................172 B. Regional overview of the natural environment....................................................................................173 C. Regional overview of the built environment........................................................................................185 vi THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS: A LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN PERSPECTIVE D. Public policies for environmental sustainability: integration and better management........................198 1. Integrated land-use and ecosystem management......................................................................200 2. Water and sanitation.................................................................................................................200 3. Integration between environmental, urban and land-use policies.............................................201 4. Slum-upgrading policies...........................................................................................................202 5. Integration between fiscal policy and environmental policy....................................................203 6. Integration between productive development policies and environmental policies.................203 7. Policies for increasing energy efficiency..................................................................................204 Chapter VII Financing for the Millennium Development Goals and international development assistance.............207 A. Introduction.........................................................................................................................................209 B. Technologies for development............................................................................................................211 1. Digital access and inclusion.....................................................................................................211 2. Use of ICTs in the production system and public policies.......................................................214 3. Conclusion................................................................................................................................216 C. Towards a more open, balanced, fair and transparent trading system.................................................217 1. The region’s strategy for integration into the world economy.................................................217 2. The Uruguay Round and Doha Round negotiations.................................................................218 3. Protectionist tendencies and market access..............................................................................219 4. Main conclusions......................................................................................................................224 D. Financing for sustainable development...............................................................................................225 1. Sources of financing.................................................................................................................225 2. The role of official development assistance (ODA).................................................................227 3. Official development assistance in Latin America and the Caribbean.....................................230 4. Conclusions..............................................................................................................................239 E. The debt problem in Latin America and the Caribbean.......................................................................241 1. External debt............................................................................................................................241 2. Public debt................................................................................................................................243 3. Debt relief initiatives................................................................................................................245 4. Final observations and conclusions..........................................................................................246 Chapter VIII Achieving the Millennium Development Goals in Latin America and the Caribbean...........................249 A. Overview of progress..........................................................................................................................251 B. Main challenges and policy directions................................................................................................285 Statistical annex............................................................................................................................................297 Bibliograhy....................................................................................................................................................311 Acronyms and abbreviations.......................................................................................................................321 vii CONTENTS Tables Table II.1 Latin America (18 countries): indicators for follow-up to the first Millenium development target................................................................................................................................27 Table II.2 Indicators for the poverty target in the Caribbean.................................................................................33 Table II.3 Latin America (18 countries): extreme poverty, by geographical area, around 2002............................42 Table II.4 Latin America: extreme poverty, by age group and geographical area, 2002........................................46 Table II.5 Latin America (18 countries): femininity index of poor households, by age group, urban and rural areas, circa 1994 and 2002...........................................................................................77 Table II.6 Latin America (18 countries): poverty and indigence rates and distribution in households headed by women, urban areas, 1990 and 2003.................................................................78 Table III.1 Latin America (18 countries): completion of primary education, around 2002.....................................87 Table IV.1 Latin America and the Caribbean (5 countries): women aged 15 to 49 currently or previously married or cohabiting who suffer or have suffered physical or sexual violence at the hands of a spouse or partner, around 2000..................................................................130 Table V.1 Infant mortality rates (per 1,000 live births), worldwide and by region, 1990-2003...........................137 Table V.2 Correlation matrix for infant mortality levels and other selected indicators of the Millennium Development Goals, up to 2003............................................................................145 Table V.3 Latin America and the Caribbean (selected countries): percentage of births attended by skilled personnel, by mother’s area of residence (ORC Macro, demographic and health surveys, 1996-2001).................................................................................................................148 Table V.4 Number of cases of malaria in the world, by continent, 2001.............................................................154 Table VI.1 Latin America and the Caribbean: examples of economic instruments used in environmental management, 1999-2000.............................................................................................175 Table VI.2 Latin America and the Caribbean: projects in the framework of the clean development mechanism..........................................................................................................................................205 Table VII.1 Information and communication technologies worldwide..................................................................212 Table VII.2 Tariffication of non-tariff barriers in the European Union and the United States, Uruguay Round....219 Table VII.3 Indicators of worldwide official development assistance....................................................................228 Table VII.4 Latin America and the Caribbean: official development assistance indicators...................................230 Table VII.5 Official development assistance in lower-income countries...............................................................231 Table VII.6 Latin America and the Caribbean: external debt indicators, 2003.......................................................247 Table VIII.1 Latin America and the Caribbean: total official development assistance (ODA) in priority areas..........281 Table VIII.2 Latin America and the Caribbean: resource indicators........................................................................286 Boxes Box I.1 What links Monterrey with Johannesburg?.............................................................................................3 Box I.2 The demographic context for the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals.........................9 Box II.1 Measurement of extreme poverty based on the $1-per-day and national lines (ECLAC).....................31 Box II.2 Women’s economic self-reliance and poverty reduction......................................................................45 Box II.3 Food: a human right..............................................................................................................................56 Box II.4 The impact of drought and declining coffee prices on Central America...............................................66 Box III.1 What is meant by primary education.....................................................................................................82 Box III.2 Emerging issues and factors that stand in the way of universal primary schooling...............................89 Box III.3 Measuring literacy: limitations of the current indicator........................................................................94 Box III.4 The crucial role of school principals and teachers in improving the quality of education.....................96 Box III.5 Healthy, pro-health schools.................................................................................................................104 Box IV.1 Poverty, race and gender in Brazil......................................................................................................127 Box IV.2 Intimate partner violence in Mexico....................................................................................................131 Box IV.3 The Mexico City Consensus: paths to gender equality........................................................................132 Box IV.4 Strengths and limitations of laws for the prevention and treatment of gender-based violence............133 Box V.1 Reducing maternal mortality in Bolivia, Chile, Cuba and Honduras..................................................161 Box V.2 Healthy municipalities........................................................................................................................165 Box VI.1 The significance of the targets in the Caribbean.................................................................................174 Box VI.2 The impact of hurricanes in the Bahamas, Grenada, Jamaica and the Dominican Republic...............187 Box VI.3 Obstacles to monitoring progress towards the targets in the Caribbean..............................................197 Box VI.4 Regional cooperation and environmental sustainability in Central America.......................................199 Box VI.5 The Kyoto Protocol.............................................................................................................................204 Box VI.6 Possible scenarios for 2015.................................................................................................................206 Box VII.1 Youth unemployment in Latin America and the Caribbean................................................................210 Box VII.2 “Develop a global partnership for development”: indicators..............................................................211 Box VII.3 Opportunities for South-South cooperation.........................................................................................227 viii THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS: A LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN PERSPECTIVE Box VII.4 Access to essential drugs in Latin America and the Caribbean...........................................................233 Box VII.5 Innovative financing mechanisms to fight hunger and poverty..........................................................238 Box VII.6 The role of family remittances in financing the development of small economies.............................241 Box VIII.1 Method used to analyse progress towards the Millennium Development Goals.................................250 Box VIII.2 The cost of a school feeding programme in public primary education...............................................262 Box VIII.3 Brazil: a workable strategy for curbing the spread of HIV/AIDS.......................................................271 Figures Figure I.1 Economic growth, 1959-2003.................................................................................................................6 Figure I.2 World regions: Gini coefficient, 1997-2002...........................................................................................8 Figure I.3 Tax burdens in selected countries and regions, 1999-2000...................................................................11 Figure II.1 Latin America: indigence rates, 1990-2004..........................................................................................26 Figure II.2 Latin America (18 countries): aggregate annual resource deficit separating the indigent population from the indigence line, around 2002.................................................................................28 Figure II.3a Latin America (17 countries): progress made, in percentage terms, in reducing extreme poverty between 1990 and 2004..............................................................................................35 Figure II.3b Latin America (17 countries): progress made, in absolute terms, in reducing extreme poverty between 1990 and 2004...........................................................................................................36 Figure II.4 Latin America: households’ shares of total income, by income quintile, around 2002.........................39 Figure II.5 Latin America: changes in Gini coefficient, 1990-2002.......................................................................40 Figure II.6 Brazil and Peru: intra-country inequalities in indigence rates...............................................................43 Figure II.7 Latin America (17 countries): extreme poverty among children under age 12, as a multiple of the extreme poverty rate for the rest of the population, around 2002...............................................47 Figure II.8 Latin America (14 countries): extreme poverty rates among indigenous peoples and afro-descendents, as a multiple of the rate for the rest of the population.............................................49 Figure II.9 Latin America: growth rates of total and per capita GDP required to halve the 1990 extreme poverty level, 2004-2015........................................................................................................50 Figure II.10 Latin America: year in which the target for the reduction of extreme poverty would be met under two economic growth scenarios......................................................................................52 Figure II.11 Latin America: change in growth rates required to halve extreme poverty, by degree of change in distribution.......................................................................................................................53 Figure II.12 Latin America and the Caribbean (19 countries): extreme poverty and prevalence of underweight children under 5 years of age, around 1999.................................................................58 Figure II.13 Latin America and the Caribbean (21 countries): extreme poverty and undernourishment, 2000-2002.............................................................................................................................................58 Figure II.14 Latin America and the Caribbean (18 countries): extreme poverty and chronic undernutrition, around 1999.................................................................................................................59 Figure II.15 Latin America and the Caribbean (24 countries): dietary energy supply (DES) and undernourished population, 2000-2002................................................................................................61 Figure II.16 Latin America and the Caribbean (24 countries): changes in the undernourished population between 1990-1992 and 2000-2002....................................................................................63 Figure II.17 Latin America and the Caribbean (24 countries): changes in the undernourished population between 1990-1992 and 2000-2002, expressed as the amount of progress made towards the target for 2015.......................................................................................64 Figure II.18 Latin America and the Caribbean (24 countries): growth of total DES between 1990-1992 and 2000-2002 and growth needed between 2000-2002 and 2015 to meet the target...........................65 Figure II.19 Latin America and the Caribbean (25 countries): prevalence of underweight children under 5 years of age, 1995-2002...........................................................................................................68 Figure II.20 Latin America and the Caribbean (22 countries): changes in prevalence of underweight children under 5 years of age between 1990 and 1995-2002, expressed in terms of progress towards the target for 2015.................................................................................................69 Figure II.21 Latin America and the Caribbean (25 countries): changes in chronic undernutrition in the under-five population between 1990 and 1995-2002..................................................................70 Figure II.22 Latin America (9 countries): types of poverty in relation to prevalence of underweight and stunted children under 5 years of age, nationwide totals, mid-1990s.............................................71 Figure II.23 Latin America (11 countries): prevalence of underweight and stunted children under 5 years of age, by area of residence, around 1999......................................................................72 Figure II.24 Latin America (6 countries): prevalence of underweight and stunted children under 5 years of age, by ethnic origin, nationwide totals, around 1999................................................73 Figure III.1 Latin America and the Caribbean (35 countries and territories): net enrolment ratio in primary education and gender parity index, school year beginning in 2002.........................................83 ix CONTENTS Figure III.2 Latin America and the Caribbean (32 countries and territories): survival rate to grade five and gender parity index, relative to flow between school years beginning in 2000 and 2001........84 Figure III.3 Latin America (18 countries): persons who have completed their primary education, by sex and five-year age group, national total, circa 2002....................................................................85 Figure III.4 Latin America (18 countries): persons between the ages of 15 and 19 who have completed their primary education, by country, around 1990 and 2000 and projections for 2015.........................86 Figure III.5 Latin America (18 countries): persons between the ages of 15 and 19 who have not completed their primary education, by income quintiles (national totals), circa 2002..........................90 Figure III.6 Latin America (15 countries): persons between the ages of 15 and 19 who have not completed their primary education, by area of residence, 2002............................................................91 Figure III.7 Latin America (9 countries): persons between the ages of 15 and 19 who have not completed their primary education, by ethnic or racial group, around 2002.........................................92 Figure III.8 Latin America and the Caribbean (24 countries): literacy rates for the population aged 15 and over and the gender parity index, 2000-2004............................................................................93 Figure III.9 Latin America and the Caribbean (13 countries): median scores on standardized language tests of fourth-grade students in public and private schools, 1997.........................................95 Figure III.10 Latin America (5 countries) and OECD: distribution of 15-year-old students by level of performance on the PISA 2000 language test......................................................................95 Figure III.11 Latin America and the Caribbean (37 countries and territories): net preschool enrolment ratio and gender parity index, school year beginning in 2002...............................................................98 Figure III.12 Latin America and the Caribbean (37 countries and territories): net enrolment ratio in secondary education and gender parity index, school year beginning in 2002................................100 Figure IV.1 Latin America and the Caribbean: net enrolment in primary and secondary education and gross enrolment in tertiary education, female-male ratio, 2001 school year.................................110 Figure IV.2 Latin America (17 countries): school attendance among the economically active population aged 15 to 19, by sex, urban areas, around 2002...............................................................110 Figure IV.3 Latin America (17 countries): ratio between school attendance rates among girls and boys aged 6 to 12, by poverty status and area of residence, around 2002.....................................111 Figure IV.4 Latin America (simple averages for urban areas in 16 countries and rural areas in 13 countries): school attendance among 13- to 19-year-olds, by sex, poverty status and geographical area, around 2002....................................................................................................112 Figure IV.5 Bolivia (2001): girls and boys aged between 7 and 14 who work.......................................................113 Figure IV.6 Latin America (17 countries): labour income forgone by school drop-outs, by sex and groups of countries, around 1999......................................................................................114 Figure IV.7 Latin America and the Caribbean: women in different fields of study in higher education, around 1995........................................................................................................................................115 Figure IV.8 Latin America and the Caribbean: illiteracy rates among 15- to 24-year-olds, 1970-2005.................116 Figure IV.9 Latin America and the Caribbean: illiteracy rates in the population aged 15 and over, 1970-2005....116 Figure IV.10 Latin America (5 countries): illiteracy rates in the population aged 15 and over, by ethnic or racial group, 2000 Census Round....................................................................................117 Figure IV.11 Latin America: economic activity rates, by gender, 1990-2002..........................................................118 Figure IV.12 Latin America (simple average for the countries): unemployment rates among economically active men and women, urban areas, 1990-2002..........................................................118 Figure IV.13 Caribbean (16 countries): unemployment rates among economically active men and women, around 2000....................................................................................................................119 Figure IV.14 Latin America and the Caribbean (26 countries): women engaged in wage employment in the non-agricultural sector, 1990 and 2001.....................................................................................119 Figure IV.15 Latin America (17 countries): female and male population employed in low-productivity sectors of the labour market, urban areas, around 2002......................................................................120 Figure IV.16 Latin America (simple average of 10 countries): female and male population employed in low-productivity sectors of the labour market, urban areas, 1990-2002..........................................121 Figure IV.17 Latin America (16 countries): average income of women and men employed in low-productivity sectors of the labour market, urban areas, around 2002...........................................121 Figure IV.18 Latin America (15 countries): ratio between women’s and men’s average hourly labour income, for all workers and for those with 13 or more years of education, urban areas, around 2002.................122 Figure IV.19 Latin America (13 countries): ratio between women’s and men’s average labour income, urban areas, 1990-2002.......................................................................................................................123 Figure IV.20 Latin America (13 countries): ratio between women’s and men’s average wage income, urban areas, 1990-2002.......................................................................................................................123 Figure IV.21 Brazil (2000): ratio between women’s and men’s average labour income among workers aged 30 to 39, with 15 or more years of education, working 40 hours per week, by branch of activity, nationwide total................................................................................................124 x